Should you trade your Alkaline Water (USA Stocks:WTER) holdings?

The market is a pendulum that forever swings between unsustainable optimism and unjustified pessimism. The Alkaline Water Company (NASDAQ: WTER), a player in the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry, seems to be swinging towards the latter. With a negative return on assets of 0.52 and a net income from continuing operations showing a loss of $27.4M, the company's financial health appears to be in a precarious state. The company's total revenue stands at $63.8M, but the cost of revenue is not far behind at $52.1M, leaving a thin margin for profit. Furthermore, the company's enterprise value revenue is a mere 0.189, indicating a low valuation. The stock's beta of 1.993 suggests it's more volatile than the market, and its standard deviation of 6.93 and variance of 48.05 further underscore the risk. Despite the analyst overall consensus being a 'Strong Buy', the negative skewness of -0.41 and a possible downside price of 0.003 may give investors pause. With shares short in the prior month at 841.6K, it might be time to consider shorting WTER. However, as always, potential investors should carefully evaluate their risk tolerance and investment strategies before making a decision. Alkaline Water is set to announce its earnings today, with the subsequent financial report anticipated on February 27, 2024. Given the growing interest in the beverage sector, it is prudent to delve deeper into Alkaline Water's financials. We will assess whether Alkaline Water's shares are reasonably valued in light of the current economic climate.
Published over three months ago
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Reviewed by Raphi Shpitalnik

The average rating for the company is 'Strong Buy', as given by one analyst. We offer trading advice that aligns with the prevailing expert consensus on Alkaline Water. Our sophisticated recommendation engine employs a multidimensional algorithm to evaluate the company's growth potential, utilizing all available technical and fundamental data at the time.

Main Points

Investors may want to consider shorting Alkaline Water Company (WTER) due to its weak financial performance and high volatility. The company has a negative return on assets of 0.52, indicating that it is not generating a profit from its assets. Furthermore, it reported an operating loss of $22 million, suggesting that it is struggling to cover its operational costs. In addition, the company's stock has a high standard deviation of 6.93, indicating a high level of volatility and potential risk for investors. Given these factors, shorting WTER could be a viable strategy for investors looking to profit from the company's financial struggles and volatile stock price.
What is the right price you would pay to acquire a share of Alkaline Water? For most investors, it would be the price that gives them a wide margin of safety to have minimal downside risk. In other words, most investors are always looking for undervalued stocks. Even if the future performance is not entirely as expected, the loss of holding it is minimized, and the downside risk is negated. Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Watch out for price decline

Please consider monitoring Alkaline Water on a daily basis if you are holding a position in it. Alkaline Water is trading at a penny-stock level, and the possibility of delisting is much higher compared to other delisted stocks. However, just because the stock is trading under one dollar, does not mean it will be marked for deletion. Most exchanges require public instruments, such as Alkaline Water stock to be traded above the $1 level to remain listed. If Alkaline Water stock price falls below $1 for 30 consecutive trading days, the exchange can delist it. Once the company reaches this point, they will be sent an initial price violation notice directly from an exchange.

What is happening with Alkaline Water this year

Annual and quarterly reports issued by Alkaline Water are formal financial statements that are published yearly and quarterly and sent to Alkaline stockholders. The reports show and break down the current year's ongoing operations and discuss plans for the upcoming year. Annual reports have been a requirement from the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for businesses owned by the public since 1934.
Companies such as Alkaline Water often view their annual report as an effective marketing tool to disseminate their perspective on company future earnings or innovations. With this in mind, many companies devote large sums of money to making their reports attractive and informative. In such instances, the annual report becomes a forum through which a company can communicate to the general public any number of topics that may or may not be directly related to the actual data published in the reports.

Is Alkaline a risky opportunity?

Let's check the volatility. Alkaline is looking slightly risky at this time. Whether you invest your money or manage your clients' funds, remember that it is easy to forget that behind Alkaline (USA Stocks:WTER) stock is an actual business venture. So, do not let stock picking become an abstract concept by ignoring the elementary risk calculations. buying a share of an Alkaline Water stock makes you a part-owner of that company. When the going gets tough, the tough get going. This is a statement that investors might want to consider when looking at the Alkaline Water Company (WTER).
With a high probability of bankruptcy at 95.01%, it's clear that the company is facing some significant financial challenges. Despite a total revenue of 63.8M, the company reported net income losses of 27.4M and an operating income loss of 22M, indicating poor financial management. Additionally, with a current ratio of 0.96X, the company is just barely able to cover its short-term liabilities, further highlighting the financial instability. The company's stock also has a high beta of 1.99, indicating it's more volatile than the market average. Considering these factors, it may be time for investors to consider shorting Alkaline Water Company. However, as with any investment strategy, investors should proceed with caution and do their due diligence. .

Can Alkaline Water correct the latest fall?

The stock of The Alkaline Water Company has recently seen a significant decline. However, with the variance now reduced to 48.05, there may be potential for a correction. This lower variance could suggest a stabilization in the stock's price movement, potentially indicating a decrease in risk for investors. Given the company's robust fundamentals and the increasing demand for healthier beverage options, Alkaline Water may have a reasonable chance of rebounding from its recent downturn. Nonetheless, investors should continue to closely monitor the stock for any signs of further volatility. Alkaline Water has exhibited above-average volatility over the selected time period. Investors should independently scrutinize Alkaline Water to ensure that their intended market timing strategies align with their expectations about the stock's volatility. Alkaline Water is a potential penny stock. While Alkaline Water may indeed be a good investment instrument, many penny stocks are speculative and subject to artificial price inflation. We advise investors to fully understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Alkaline Water. Investors are encouraged to look for signals such as email spam, message board hype, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, unreported promotions, or demotions released before SEC filings.
It's also recommended to check the biographies and work histories of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with a microcap classification. While it is possible to profit from the Alkaline instrument if you time your entry and exit perfectly, remember that penny stocks that have been subject to artificial hype usually cannot maintain their increased share price for more than a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed by solid fundamentals. In conclusion, despite the recent slump of over 3 percent in Alkaline Water's stock, the company still holds significant potential for investors. The Analyst Overall Consensus remains a Strong Buy, with one analyst giving a strong buy recommendation. The company's Valuation Market Value and Valuation Hype Value both stand at 0.3, slightly above its Valuation Real Value of 0.25. This suggests that the stock may be slightly overvalued, but not excessively so. Furthermore, the Naive Expected Forecast Value is 0.31, indicating potential for growth. The possible upside price is a significant $7.34, while the possible downside price is a mere $0.003. Therefore, despite the recent downturn, Alkaline Water may still be a viable investment option. .

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Editorial Staff

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Rifka Kats do not own shares of Alkaline Water. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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