Adobe (Brazil) Market Value
| ADBE34 Stock | BRL 41.37 0.08 0.19% |
| Symbol | Adobe |
Adobe 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Adobe's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Adobe.
| 04/24/2025 |
| 07/23/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Adobe on April 24, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Adobe Inc or generate 0.0% return on investment in Adobe over 90 days. Adobe is related to or competes with Live Nation, Seagate Technology, SSC Technologies, Costco Wholesale, and Unity Software. Adobe Inc. operates as a diversified software company worldwide More
Adobe Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Adobe's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Adobe Inc upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.43 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.05) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 11.12 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.21) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.15 |
Adobe Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Adobe's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Adobe's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Adobe historical prices to predict the future Adobe's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0337 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0164 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.35) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.05) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2371 |
Adobe Inc Backtested Returns
At this point, Adobe is very steady. Adobe Inc secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0216, which signifies that the company had a 0.0216 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Adobe Inc, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Adobe's Mean Deviation of 1.61, risk adjusted performance of 0.0337, and Downside Deviation of 2.43 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0476%. Adobe has a performance score of 1 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.24, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Adobe's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Adobe is expected to be smaller as well. Adobe Inc right now shows a risk of 2.2%. Please confirm Adobe Inc total risk alpha, treynor ratio, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and sortino ratio , to decide if Adobe Inc will be following its price patterns.
Auto-correlation | -0.78 |
Almost perfect reverse predictability
Adobe Inc has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Adobe time series from 24th of April 2025 to 8th of June 2025 and 8th of June 2025 to 23rd of July 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Adobe Inc price movement. The serial correlation of -0.78 indicates that around 78.0% of current Adobe price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.78 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.73 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 3.11 |
Adobe Inc lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Adobe stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Adobe's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Adobe returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Adobe has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Adobe regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Adobe stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Adobe stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Adobe stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Adobe Lagged Returns
When evaluating Adobe's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Adobe stock have on its future price. Adobe autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Adobe autocorrelation shows the relationship between Adobe stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Adobe Inc.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Adobe Stock
Adobe financial ratios help investors to determine whether Adobe Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Adobe with respect to the benefits of owning Adobe security.