Hal Trust Stock Market Value
HALFF Stock | USD 143.34 2.72 1.86% |
Symbol | HAL |
HAL Trust 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to HAL Trust's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of HAL Trust.
04/23/2025 |
| 07/22/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in HAL Trust on April 23, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding HAL Trust or generate 0.0% return on investment in HAL Trust over 90 days. HAL Trust is related to or competes with 3i Group, Partners, Burford Capital, PennantPark Investment, Straumann Holding, Recruit Holdings, and Atlas Copco. HAL Trust, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the building materials, construction, office furniture, staffing, ... More
HAL Trust Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure HAL Trust's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess HAL Trust upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
Downside Deviation | 2.61 | |||
Information Ratio | 0.0409 | |||
Maximum Drawdown | 9.85 | |||
Value At Risk | (3.18) | |||
Potential Upside | 4.95 |
HAL Trust Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for HAL Trust's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as HAL Trust's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use HAL Trust historical prices to predict the future HAL Trust's volatility.Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1124 | |||
Jensen Alpha | 0.1909 | |||
Total Risk Alpha | (0.07) | |||
Sortino Ratio | 0.031 | |||
Treynor Ratio | 1.14 |
HAL Trust Backtested Returns
HAL Trust appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. HAL Trust holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.12, which attests that the company had a 0.12 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for HAL Trust, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please utilize HAL Trust's semi deviation of 1.47, and Downside Deviation of 2.61 to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, HAL Trust holds a performance score of 9. The firm retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.19, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, HAL Trust's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding HAL Trust is expected to be smaller as well. Please check HAL Trust's downside variance, rate of daily change, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and skewness , to make a quick decision on whether HAL Trust's current trending patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.68 |
Good predictability
HAL Trust has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between HAL Trust time series from 23rd of April 2025 to 7th of June 2025 and 7th of June 2025 to 22nd of July 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of HAL Trust price movement. The serial correlation of 0.68 indicates that around 68.0% of current HAL Trust price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient | 0.68 | |
Spearman Rank Test | 0.46 | |
Residual Average | 0.0 | |
Price Variance | 6.83 |
HAL Trust lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is HAL Trust pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting HAL Trust's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of HAL Trust returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that HAL Trust has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
Timeline |
HAL Trust regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If HAL Trust pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if HAL Trust pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in HAL Trust pink sheet over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
Timeline |
HAL Trust Lagged Returns
When evaluating HAL Trust's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of HAL Trust pink sheet have on its future price. HAL Trust autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, HAL Trust autocorrelation shows the relationship between HAL Trust pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in HAL Trust.
Regressed Prices |
Timeline |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Other Information on Investing in HAL Pink Sheet
HAL Trust financial ratios help investors to determine whether HAL Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in HAL with respect to the benefits of owning HAL Trust security.