Merck Kommanditgesellschaft Auf Stock Market Value
MKGAF Stock | USD 130.40 1.20 0.91% |
Symbol | MERCK |
MERCK Kommanditgesells 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to MERCK Kommanditgesells' pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of MERCK Kommanditgesells.
04/22/2025 |
| 07/21/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in MERCK Kommanditgesells on April 22, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding MERCK Kommanditgesellschaft auf or generate 0.0% return on investment in MERCK Kommanditgesells over 90 days. MERCK Kommanditgesells is related to or competes with Merck KGaA, CSL, Chugai Pharmaceutical, CSL, and EssilorLuxottica. MERCK Kommanditgesellschaft auf Aktien operates in the healthcare, life science, and electronics sectors worldwide More
MERCK Kommanditgesells Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure MERCK Kommanditgesells' pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess MERCK Kommanditgesellschaft auf upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
Downside Deviation | 2.94 | |||
Information Ratio | (0.03) | |||
Maximum Drawdown | 11.49 | |||
Value At Risk | (4.20) | |||
Potential Upside | 4.25 |
MERCK Kommanditgesells Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for MERCK Kommanditgesells' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as MERCK Kommanditgesells' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use MERCK Kommanditgesells historical prices to predict the future MERCK Kommanditgesells' volatility.Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0284 | |||
Jensen Alpha | 0.0879 | |||
Total Risk Alpha | (0.33) | |||
Sortino Ratio | (0.03) | |||
Treynor Ratio | (0.20) |
MERCK Kommanditgesells Backtested Returns
MERCK Kommanditgesells has Sharpe Ratio of close to zero, which conveys that the firm had a close to zero % return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. MERCK Kommanditgesells exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify MERCK Kommanditgesells' mean deviation of 2.17, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0284 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.26, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning MERCK Kommanditgesells are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, MERCK Kommanditgesells is likely to outperform the market. At this point, MERCK Kommanditgesells has a negative expected return of -0.0179%. Please make sure to verify MERCK Kommanditgesells' expected short fall, day typical price, and the relationship between the potential upside and daily balance of power , to decide if MERCK Kommanditgesells performance from the past will be repeated at future time.
Auto-correlation | -0.32 |
Poor reverse predictability
MERCK Kommanditgesellschaft auf has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between MERCK Kommanditgesells time series from 22nd of April 2025 to 6th of June 2025 and 6th of June 2025 to 21st of July 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of MERCK Kommanditgesells price movement. The serial correlation of -0.32 indicates that nearly 32.0% of current MERCK Kommanditgesells price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient | -0.32 | |
Spearman Rank Test | -0.21 | |
Residual Average | 0.0 | |
Price Variance | 9.43 |
MERCK Kommanditgesells lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is MERCK Kommanditgesells pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting MERCK Kommanditgesells' pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of MERCK Kommanditgesells returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that MERCK Kommanditgesells has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
Timeline |
MERCK Kommanditgesells regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If MERCK Kommanditgesells pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if MERCK Kommanditgesells pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in MERCK Kommanditgesells pink sheet over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
Timeline |
MERCK Kommanditgesells Lagged Returns
When evaluating MERCK Kommanditgesells' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of MERCK Kommanditgesells pink sheet have on its future price. MERCK Kommanditgesells autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, MERCK Kommanditgesells autocorrelation shows the relationship between MERCK Kommanditgesells pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in MERCK Kommanditgesellschaft auf.
Regressed Prices |
Timeline |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Other Information on Investing in MERCK Pink Sheet
MERCK Kommanditgesells financial ratios help investors to determine whether MERCK Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in MERCK with respect to the benefits of owning MERCK Kommanditgesells security.