Probe Metals Stock Market Value
| PROBF Stock | USD 1.67 0.07 4.37% |
| Symbol | Probe |
Probe Metals 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Probe Metals' otc stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Probe Metals.
| 04/23/2025 |
| 07/22/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Probe Metals on April 23, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Probe Metals or generate 0.0% return on investment in Probe Metals over 90 days. Probe Metals is related to or competes with Barrister Energy, Altura Energy, Santos, Vaalco Energy, Houston American, Barnwell Industries, and Mexco Energy. Probe Metals Inc., a junior resource company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of mineral proper... More
Probe Metals Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Probe Metals' otc stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Probe Metals upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.39 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0415 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 13.14 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.19) | |||
| Potential Upside | 5.23 |
Probe Metals Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Probe Metals' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Probe Metals' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Probe Metals historical prices to predict the future Probe Metals' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.093 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.3518 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.16) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0495 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.36) |
Probe Metals Backtested Returns
Probe Metals appears to be very risky, given 3 months investment horizon. Probe Metals maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.0988, which implies the firm had a 0.0988 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Probe Metals, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please evaluate Probe Metals' Coefficient Of Variation of 1080.13, semi deviation of 2.1, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.093 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Probe Metals holds a performance score of 7. The company holds a Beta of -0.72, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Probe Metals are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Probe Metals is likely to outperform the market. Please check Probe Metals' treynor ratio, expected short fall, day typical price, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and daily balance of power , to make a quick decision on whether Probe Metals' historical price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | -0.38 |
Poor reverse predictability
Probe Metals has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Probe Metals time series from 23rd of April 2025 to 7th of June 2025 and 7th of June 2025 to 22nd of July 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Probe Metals price movement. The serial correlation of -0.38 indicates that just about 38.0% of current Probe Metals price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.38 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.66 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.01 |
Probe Metals lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Probe Metals otc stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Probe Metals' otc stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Probe Metals returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Probe Metals has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the otc stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Probe Metals regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Probe Metals otc stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Probe Metals otc stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Probe Metals otc stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Probe Metals Lagged Returns
When evaluating Probe Metals' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Probe Metals otc stock have on its future price. Probe Metals autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Probe Metals autocorrelation shows the relationship between Probe Metals otc stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Probe Metals.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Other Information on Investing in Probe OTC Stock
Probe Metals financial ratios help investors to determine whether Probe OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Probe with respect to the benefits of owning Probe Metals security.