Real Messenger Stock Market Value
| RMSGW Stock | 0.09 0.05 134.21% |
| Symbol | Real |
Is Business Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Real Messenger. If investors know Real will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Real Messenger listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Real Messenger is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Real that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Real Messenger's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Real Messenger's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Real Messenger's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Real Messenger's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Real Messenger's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Real Messenger is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Real Messenger's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Real Messenger 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Real Messenger's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Real Messenger.
| 04/25/2025 |
| 07/24/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Real Messenger on April 25, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Real Messenger or generate 0.0% return on investment in Real Messenger over 90 days. Real Messenger is related to or competes with Integral, Nextplat Corp, MGIC Investment, Unum, Freedom Internet, Arrow Electronics, and Radian. Real Messenger is entity of United States More
Real Messenger Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Real Messenger's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Real Messenger upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 16.55 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1046 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 176.76 | |||
| Value At Risk | (29.82) | |||
| Potential Upside | 36.73 |
Real Messenger Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Real Messenger's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Real Messenger's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Real Messenger historical prices to predict the future Real Messenger's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1111 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 2.21 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (2.70) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1452 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 1.36 |
Real Messenger Backtested Returns
Real Messenger is out of control given 3 months investment horizon. Real Messenger maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.18, which implies the firm had a 0.18 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We were able to analyze and collect data for twenty-nine different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 5.36% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use Real Messenger Semi Deviation of 13.09, risk adjusted performance of 0.1111, and Coefficient Of Variation of 877.22 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. Real Messenger holds a performance score of 13 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The company holds a Beta of 1.92, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Real Messenger will likely underperform. Use Real Messenger total risk alpha and the relationship between the downside variance and relative strength index , to analyze future returns on Real Messenger.
Auto-correlation | -0.12 |
Insignificant reverse predictability
Real Messenger has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Real Messenger time series from 25th of April 2025 to 9th of June 2025 and 9th of June 2025 to 24th of July 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Real Messenger price movement. The serial correlation of -0.12 indicates that less than 12.0% of current Real Messenger price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.12 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.31 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
Real Messenger lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Real Messenger stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Real Messenger's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Real Messenger returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Real Messenger has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Real Messenger regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Real Messenger stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Real Messenger stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Real Messenger stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Real Messenger Lagged Returns
When evaluating Real Messenger's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Real Messenger stock have on its future price. Real Messenger autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Real Messenger autocorrelation shows the relationship between Real Messenger stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Real Messenger.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Additional Tools for Real Stock Analysis
When running Real Messenger's price analysis, check to measure Real Messenger's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Real Messenger is operating at the current time. Most of Real Messenger's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Real Messenger's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Real Messenger's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Real Messenger to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.