Thornburg Developing World Fund Market Value

THDIX Fund  USD 25.31  0.17  0.68%   
Thornburg Developing's market value is the price at which a share of Thornburg Developing trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Thornburg Developing World investors about its performance. Thornburg Developing is trading at 25.31 as of the 21st of July 2025; that is 0.68 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 25.14.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Thornburg Developing World and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Thornburg Developing over a given investment horizon. Check out Thornburg Developing Correlation, Thornburg Developing Volatility and Thornburg Developing Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Thornburg Developing.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Thornburg Developing's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Thornburg Developing is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Thornburg Developing's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Thornburg Developing 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Thornburg Developing's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Thornburg Developing.
0.00
04/22/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
07/21/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Thornburg Developing on April 22, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Thornburg Developing World or generate 0.0% return on investment in Thornburg Developing over 90 days. Thornburg Developing is related to or competes with Thornburg Value, Thornburg Value, Thornburg International, Thornburg International, Thornburg International, Thornburg International, and Thornburg Core. Under normal market conditions, the fund pursues its objective by investing at least 80 percent of its net assets, plus the amount of any borrowings for investment purposes, in equity securities of issuers which Thornburg views as having substantial economic ties to one or more developing countries. More

Thornburg Developing Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Thornburg Developing's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Thornburg Developing World upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Thornburg Developing Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Thornburg Developing's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Thornburg Developing's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Thornburg Developing historical prices to predict the future Thornburg Developing's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.5725.3126.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.1324.8725.61
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
24.3225.0525.79
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
24.8025.0925.37
Details

Thornburg Developing Backtested Returns

Thornburg Developing appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Thornburg Developing owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.38, which indicates the fund had a 0.38 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-six technical indicators for Thornburg Developing World, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please review Thornburg Developing's Downside Deviation of 0.5427, standard deviation of 0.7591, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.3514 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. The entity has a beta of 0.27, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Thornburg Developing's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Thornburg Developing is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.85  

Very good predictability

Thornburg Developing World has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Thornburg Developing time series from 22nd of April 2025 to 6th of June 2025 and 6th of June 2025 to 21st of July 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Thornburg Developing price movement. The serial correlation of 0.85 indicates that around 85.0% of current Thornburg Developing price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.85
Spearman Rank Test0.69
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.16

Thornburg Developing lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Thornburg Developing mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Thornburg Developing's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Thornburg Developing returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Thornburg Developing has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Thornburg Developing regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Thornburg Developing mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Thornburg Developing mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Thornburg Developing mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Thornburg Developing Lagged Returns

When evaluating Thornburg Developing's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Thornburg Developing mutual fund have on its future price. Thornburg Developing autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Thornburg Developing autocorrelation shows the relationship between Thornburg Developing mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Thornburg Developing World.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Thornburg Mutual Fund

Thornburg Developing financial ratios help investors to determine whether Thornburg Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Thornburg with respect to the benefits of owning Thornburg Developing security.
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