Advance Auto Parts Stock Performance

AAP Stock  USD 50.32  2.27  4.32%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.84, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Advance Auto will likely underperform. At this point, Advance Auto Parts has a negative expected return of -0.29%. Please make sure to confirm Advance Auto's skewness, as well as the relationship between the rate of daily change and period momentum indicator , to decide if Advance Auto Parts performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Over the last 90 days Advance Auto Parts has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Even with unfluctuating performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain relatively invariable which may send shares a bit higher in November 2025. The latest agitation may also be a sign of long-running up-swing for the enterprise retail investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(1.77)
Five Day Return
(17.00)
Year To Date Return
7.31
Ten Year Return
(72.74)
All Time Return
271.65
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0176
Payout Ratio
1.2658
Last Split Factor
3:2
Forward Dividend Rate
1
Dividend Date
2025-10-24
 
Advance Auto dividend paid on 25th of July 2025
07/25/2025
1
Advance Auto Parts Returns to Profit in Q2
08/14/2025
2
Fox Run Management L.L.C. Acquires Shares of 9,740 Advance Auto Parts, Inc. AAP
08/19/2025
3
Punjab floods IPS officers in state go beyond policing, to donate one days salary for relief efforts
09/02/2025
4
Why Advance Auto Parts Stock Is Trading Up Today
09/15/2025
5
Whats Driving the Market Sentiment Around Advance Auto Parts
09/16/2025
6
Disposition of 11505 shares by Shane OKelly of Advance Auto at 60.12 subject to Rule 16b-3
09/18/2025
7
Is Advance Auto Parts, Inc. Trading At A 28 percent Discount
09/19/2025
8
Advance Auto Parts is A Great RiskReward Play If EPS Delivers
09/22/2025
9
CarMax Q2 Earnings Miss Expectations, Revenues Decline YY
10/02/2025
10
Mattern Capital Management LLC Raises Stake in Advance Auto Parts, Inc. AAP
10/03/2025
11
Advance Auto Parts A Fresh Look at Valuation Following Turnaround and New Earnings Guidance
10/06/2025
12
5 Broker-Friendly Stocks to Watch as Markets Move North Amid Shutdown
10/08/2025
Begin Period Cash Flow503.5 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities1.4 B

Advance Auto Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  6,256  in Advance Auto Parts on July 11, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (1,224) from holding Advance Auto Parts or give up 19.57% of portfolio value over 90 days. Advance Auto Parts is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 3.1357% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 28% of stocks are less volatile than Advance, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Advance Auto is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 5.4 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.09 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of volatility.

Advance Auto Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Advance Auto's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Advance Auto Parts, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Advance Auto's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.0926

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Negative ReturnsAAP

Estimated Market Risk

 3.14
  actual daily
28
72% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 -0.29
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 -0.09
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Advance Auto is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Advance Auto by adding Advance Auto to a well-diversified portfolio.

Advance Auto Fundamentals Growth

Advance Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Advance Auto, and Advance Auto fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Advance Stock performance.

About Advance Auto Performance

Assessing Advance Auto's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Advance Auto's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Advance Auto is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 363.53  208.74 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.04  0.04 
Return On Capital Employed 0.08  0.08 
Return On Assets 0.04  0.06 
Return On Equity 0.18  0.13 

Things to note about Advance Auto Parts performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Advance Auto for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Advance Auto Parts help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Advance Auto Parts generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Advance Auto Parts has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the last year's revenue of 9.09 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (586.96 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 3.68 B.
Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from zacks.com: 5 Broker-Friendly Stocks to Watch as Markets Move North Amid Shutdown
Evaluating Advance Auto's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Advance Auto's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Advance Auto's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Advance Auto's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Advance Auto's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Advance Auto's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Advance Auto's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Advance Auto's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Advance Auto's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Advance Auto's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Advance Auto's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Advance Stock Analysis

When running Advance Auto's price analysis, check to measure Advance Auto's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Advance Auto is operating at the current time. Most of Advance Auto's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Advance Auto's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Advance Auto's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Advance Auto to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.