Nicholas Ii Inc Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

NCTWX Fund  USD 32.62  0.13  0.40%   
The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.09, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Nicholas returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Nicholas is expected to follow.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Nicholas Ii Inc has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Nicholas is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Expense Ratio Date28th of January 2023
Expense Ratio0.5900
  

Nicholas Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  3,367  in Nicholas Ii Inc on August 1, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (92.00) from holding Nicholas Ii Inc or give up 2.73% of portfolio value over 90 days. Nicholas Ii Inc is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 0.8569% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 7% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Nicholas, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Nicholas is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 1.39 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.05 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.22 per unit of volatility.

Nicholas Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
32.62
Please note that Nicholas' price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be fairly valued. Nicholas Ii secures a last-minute Real Value of $32.85 per share. The latest price of the fund is $32.62. We determine the value of Nicholas Ii from analyzing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we recommend acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will merge together.
Since Nicholas is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Nicholas Mutual Fund. However, Nicholas' intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  32.62 Real  32.85 Hype  32.27 Naive  32.84
The intrinsic value of Nicholas' stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Nicholas' stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
32.85
Real Value
33.71
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Nicholas Ii Inc helps investors to forecast how Nicholas mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Nicholas more accurately as focusing exclusively on Nicholas' fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
32.5133.1833.84
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
31.4132.2733.13
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
31.9832.8433.69
Details

Nicholas Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Nicholas' investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of mutual funds, such as Nicholas Ii Inc, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Nicholas' price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.0471

Best PortfolioBest Equity
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Negative ReturnsNCTWX

Estimated Market Risk

 0.86
  actual daily
7
93% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 -0.04
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 -0.05
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Nicholas is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Nicholas by adding Nicholas to a well-diversified portfolio.

Nicholas Fundamentals Growth

Nicholas Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Nicholas, and Nicholas fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Nicholas Mutual Fund performance.

About Nicholas Performance

Evaluating Nicholas' performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Nicholas has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Nicholas has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund primarily invests in common stocks of domestic corporations with medium-sized market capitalizations believed to have growth potential. The adviser believes a companys annual sales volume and the market capitalization are the factors most illustrative of a companys size. The adviser generally considers companies with market capitalizations up to 3 billion as small, between 3 billion and 25 billion as medium, and greater than 25 billion as large.

Things to note about Nicholas Ii performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Nicholas for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Nicholas Ii help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nicholas Ii generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: Their Funds May Not Beat the Market. Their Stocks Just Might. - Barrons
The fund maintains 98.06% of its assets in stocks
Evaluating Nicholas' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Nicholas' mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Nicholas' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Nicholas' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Nicholas' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Nicholas' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Nicholas' management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Nicholas' mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Nicholas' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Nicholas' mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Nicholas' mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Nicholas Mutual Fund

Nicholas financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nicholas Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nicholas with respect to the benefits of owning Nicholas security.
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