Truecar Stock Performance

TRUE Stock  USD 2.54  0.00  0.00%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, TrueCar holds a performance score of 9. The entity has a beta of -0.0619, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning TrueCar are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, TrueCar is likely to outperform the market. Please check TrueCar's downside variance, as well as the relationship between the accumulation distribution and price action indicator , to make a quick decision on whether TrueCar's existing price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in TrueCar are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather unfluctuating basic indicators, TrueCar exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

Year To Date Return
11.89
Ten Year Return
(53.73)
All Time Return
(74.75)
Begin Period Cash Flow137 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-7.9 M

TrueCar Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  216.00  in TrueCar on November 8, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  38.00  from holding TrueCar or generate 17.59% return on investment over 90 days. TrueCar is currently generating 0.3703% in daily expected returns and assumes 3.1158% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 27% of stocks are less volatile than TrueCar, and 93% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days TrueCar is expected to generate 4.07 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 4.07 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.12 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

TrueCar Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of TrueCar Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 2.54 90 days 2.54 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of TrueCar to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This TrueCar probability density function shows the probability of TrueCar Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days TrueCar has a beta of -0.0619. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding TrueCar are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, TrueCar is likely to outperform the market. Additionally TrueCar has an alpha of 0.1089, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   TrueCar Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for TrueCar

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TrueCar. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of TrueCar's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.132.545.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.112.195.31
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.052.625.73
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
2.142.352.61
Details

TrueCar Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. TrueCar is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the TrueCar's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold TrueCar, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of TrueCar within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.06
σ
Overall volatility
0.10
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

TrueCar Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of TrueCar for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for TrueCar can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
TrueCar is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
TrueCar had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 175.6 M. Net Loss for the year was (31.05 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 143.5 M.
Over 79.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Aug Chart Watch What is TrueCar Incs 5 year growth outlook - Weekly Market Summary Daily Profit Maximizing Tips - baoquankhu1.vn

TrueCar Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of TrueCar Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential TrueCar's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TrueCar's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding90.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments111.8 M

TrueCar Fundamentals Growth

TrueCar Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of TrueCar, and TrueCar fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on TrueCar Stock performance.

About TrueCar Performance

By analyzing TrueCar's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into TrueCar's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if TrueCar has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if TrueCar has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 100.62  108.48 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.18)(0.19)
Return On Capital Employed(0.26)(0.28)
Return On Assets(0.17)(0.18)
Return On Equity(0.24)(0.25)

Things to note about TrueCar performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about TrueCar for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for TrueCar help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
TrueCar is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
TrueCar had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 175.6 M. Net Loss for the year was (31.05 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 143.5 M.
Over 79.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Aug Chart Watch What is TrueCar Incs 5 year growth outlook - Weekly Market Summary Daily Profit Maximizing Tips - baoquankhu1.vn
Evaluating TrueCar's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate TrueCar's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing TrueCar's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether TrueCar's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining TrueCar's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating TrueCar's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of TrueCar's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of TrueCar's stock. These opinions can provide insight into TrueCar's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating TrueCar's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact TrueCar's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running TrueCar's price analysis, check to measure TrueCar's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy TrueCar is operating at the current time. Most of TrueCar's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of TrueCar's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move TrueCar's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of TrueCar to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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