Bankfinancial Stock Price Prediction
| BFIN Stock | USD 12.00 0.05 0.41% |
Momentum 68
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.184 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.19 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.67 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.79 | Wall Street Target Price 11.5 |
Using BankFinancial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of BankFinancial from the perspective of BankFinancial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards BankFinancial using BankFinancial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards BankFinancial using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of BankFinancial's stock price.
BankFinancial Implied Volatility | 1.15 |
BankFinancial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of BankFinancial stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if BankFinancial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that BankFinancial stock will not fluctuate a lot when BankFinancial's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in BankFinancial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying BankFinancial because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
BankFinancial after-hype prediction price | USD 11.99 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current BankFinancial contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that BankFinancial will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0719% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With BankFinancial trading at USD 12.0, that is roughly USD 0.008625 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating BankFinancial's daily price movement you should consider acquiring BankFinancial options at the current volatility level of 1.15%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
BankFinancial | Build AI portfolio with BankFinancial Stock |
BankFinancial After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of BankFinancial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in BankFinancial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of BankFinancial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
BankFinancial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting BankFinancial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on BankFinancial's historical news coverage. BankFinancial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.64 and 13.34, respectively. We have considered BankFinancial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
BankFinancial is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of BankFinancial is based on 3 months time horizon.
BankFinancial Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as BankFinancial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading BankFinancial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with BankFinancial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.22 | 1.35 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 7 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
12.00 | 11.99 | 0.08 |
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BankFinancial Hype Timeline
BankFinancial is currently traded for 12.00. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. BankFinancial is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 11.99. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.08%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.22%. The volatility of related hype on BankFinancial is about 1730.77%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 11.98. About 67.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.95. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. BankFinancial last dividend was issued on the 14th of November 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.BankFinancial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to BankFinancial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict BankFinancial's future price movements. Getting to know how BankFinancial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how BankFinancial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ECBK | ECB Bancorp | 0.18 | 9 per month | 1.09 | 0.03 | 2.00 | (1.66) | 11.46 | |
| FCAP | First Capital | 0.19 | 6 per month | 2.68 | 0.07 | 6.23 | (5.18) | 17.93 | |
| BCBP | BCB Bancorp | (0.03) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.00 | (2.68) | 8.73 | |
| EBMT | Eagle Bancorp Montana | 0.24 | 11 per month | 1.00 | 0.20 | 3.06 | (1.80) | 5.59 | |
| CBFV | CB Financial Services | (1.55) | 8 per month | 1.61 | 0.02 | 3.20 | (2.91) | 7.46 | |
| LARK | Landmark Bancorp | (0.01) | 8 per month | 1.50 | 0.02 | 3.35 | (2.95) | 8.99 | |
| MNSB | Mainstreet Bank | (0.28) | 8 per month | 1.32 | 0.07 | 3.35 | (2.64) | 8.15 | |
| FNWD | Finward Bancorp | 0.34 | 7 per month | 1.53 | 0.01 | 3.70 | (2.31) | 8.84 | |
| RMBI | Richmond Mutual Bancorporation | 0.18 | 5 per month | 1.22 | 0.01 | 3.33 | (2.55) | 7.33 | |
| CFBK | CF Bankshares | (0.04) | 8 per month | 0.82 | 0.14 | 4.49 | (1.80) | 9.61 |
BankFinancial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine BankFinancial price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for BankFinancial using various technical indicators. When you analyze BankFinancial charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About BankFinancial Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of BankFinancial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as BankFinancial, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of BankFinancial based on analysis of BankFinancial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to BankFinancial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to BankFinancial's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.039 | 0.0315 | 0.0284 | 0.0202 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.82 | 2.13 | 2.45 | 3.97 |
Pair Trading with BankFinancial
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if BankFinancial position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in BankFinancial will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with BankFinancial Stock
The ability to find closely correlated positions to BankFinancial could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace BankFinancial when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back BankFinancial - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling BankFinancial to buy it.
The correlation of BankFinancial is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as BankFinancial moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if BankFinancial moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for BankFinancial can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product. You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
Will Regional Banks sector continue expanding? Could BankFinancial diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of BankFinancial. Projected growth potential of BankFinancial fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every BankFinancial data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.184 | Dividend Share 0.4 | Earnings Share 0.19 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.075 |
BankFinancial's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on BankFinancial's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate BankFinancial's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since BankFinancial's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between BankFinancial's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding BankFinancial should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, BankFinancial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.