Bristol Myers (Mexico) Price Prediction
| BMY Stock | MXN 744.63 2.13 0.29% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
32
Oversold | Overbought |
Bristol Myers Squibb stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Bristol Myers shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Bristol Myers' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Bristol Myers and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Bristol Myers' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Bristol Myers Squibb, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Bristol Myers based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Bristol stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Bristol Myers over a specific investment horizon. Using Bristol Myers hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bristol Myers Squibb from the perspective of Bristol Myers response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Bristol Myers. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Bristol Myers to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Bristol because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Bristol Myers after-hype prediction price | MXN 744.63 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Bristol |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bristol Myers' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Bristol Myers After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Bristol Myers at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bristol Myers or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Bristol Myers, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Bristol Myers Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Bristol Myers' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bristol Myers' historical news coverage. Bristol Myers' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 743.06 and 746.20, respectively. We have considered Bristol Myers' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Bristol Myers is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bristol Myers Squibb is based on 3 months time horizon.
Bristol Myers Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bristol Myers is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bristol Myers backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bristol Myers, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.23 | 1.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
744.63 | 744.63 | 0.00 |
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Bristol Myers Hype Timeline
Bristol Myers Squibb is currently traded for 744.63on Mexican Exchange of Mexico. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Bristol is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.23%. %. The volatility of related hype on Bristol Myers is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 744.63. About 79.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.41. Bristol Myers Squibb recorded earning per share (EPS) of 55.43. The entity last dividend was issued on the 5th of January 2023. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Bristol Myers Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Bristol Myers Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Bristol Myers' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bristol Myers' future price movements. Getting to know how Bristol Myers' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bristol Myers may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LLY | Eli Lilly and | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.89 | 0.07 | 4.25 | (3.73) | 10.81 | |
| MRK | Merck Company | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.09 | 0 | 2.65 | (2.49) | 8.39 | |
| BMY | Bristol Myers Squibb | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 2.66 | (2.22) | 10.81 | |
| SNYN | Sanofi | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 1.52 | (1.60) | 17.25 | |
| GILD | Gilead Sciences | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.38) | 0.06 | (2.30) | 4.97 | |
| BIIB | Biogen Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 2.14 | (3.62) | 9.47 |
Bristol Myers Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Bristol price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bristol using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bristol charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Bristol Myers Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Bristol Myers stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Bristol Myers Squibb, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Bristol Myers based on analysis of Bristol Myers hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Bristol Myers's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Bristol Myers's related companies. Story Coverage note for Bristol Myers
The number of cover stories for Bristol Myers depends on current market conditions and Bristol Myers' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bristol Myers is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bristol Myers' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Bristol Myers Short Properties
Bristol Myers' future price predictability will typically decrease when Bristol Myers' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Bristol Myers Squibb often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Bristol Myers' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bristol Myers' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.1 B |
Check out Bristol Myers Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
Complementary Tools for Bristol Stock analysis
When running Bristol Myers' price analysis, check to measure Bristol Myers' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bristol Myers is operating at the current time. Most of Bristol Myers' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bristol Myers' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bristol Myers' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bristol Myers to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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