ContraFect Corp Price Prediction

CFRXDelisted Stock  USD 0.03  0  10.56%   
At this time, the value of RSI of ContraFect Corp's share price is approaching 44 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling ContraFect Corp, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

44

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
ContraFect Corp stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of ContraFect Corp shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of ContraFect Corp's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of ContraFect Corp and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from ContraFect Corp's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with ContraFect Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether delisted stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of ContraFect Corp based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The ContraFect stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on ContraFect Corp over a specific investment horizon. Using ContraFect Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ContraFect Corp from the perspective of ContraFect Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in ContraFect Corp. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in ContraFect Corp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying ContraFect because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

ContraFect Corp after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.0332  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ContraFect Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0311.47
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00060.0311.47
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.020.030.03
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as ContraFect Corp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against ContraFect Corp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, ContraFect Corp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in ContraFect Corp.

ContraFect Corp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of ContraFect Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ContraFect Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of ContraFect Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

ContraFect Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting ContraFect Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ContraFect Corp's historical news coverage. ContraFect Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 11.47, respectively. We have considered ContraFect Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.03
0.03
After-hype Price
11.47
Upside
ContraFect Corp is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ContraFect Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

ContraFect Corp Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as ContraFect Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ContraFect Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ContraFect Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  1.79 
11.44
  0.01 
  2.33 
2 Events / Month
8 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.03
0.03
22.64 
286,000  
Notes

ContraFect Corp Hype Timeline

ContraFect Corp is currently traded for 0.03. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 2.33. ContraFect is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.0332 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 22.64%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -1.79%. The volatility of related hype on ContraFect Corp is about 877.92%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.36. The company currently holds 2.88 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.24, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. ContraFect Corp has a current ratio of 1.79, which is within standard range for the sector. Debt can assist ContraFect Corp until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, ContraFect Corp's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like ContraFect Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for ContraFect to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about ContraFect Corp's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in a few days.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.

ContraFect Corp Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to ContraFect Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ContraFect Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how ContraFect Corp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ContraFect Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
PALIPalisade Bio 5.55 8 per month 9.13  0.02  11.30 (10.98) 119.62 
ALLRAllarity Therapeutics 5.81 9 per month 0.00 (0.42) 4.70 (12.25) 36.87 
CNSPCns Pharmaceuticals(0.05)7 per month 0.00 (0.15) 10.71 (15.38) 34.74 
WINTWindtree Therapeutics 6.30 8 per month 0.00 (0.13) 8.18 (9.15) 30.04 
QNRXQuoin Pharmaceuticals Ltd(0.27)8 per month 0.00 (0.34) 4.69 (9.67) 53.64 
REVBRevelation Biosciences(0.26)9 per month 0.00 (0.13) 12.86 (16.67) 95.47 
VRAXVirax Biolabs Group 0.01 4 per month 0.00 (0.11) 6.15 (7.04) 27.96 
UNCYUnicycive Therapeutics 0.12 8 per month 4.38  0.03  10.53 (6.73) 24.66 
NRBONeurobo Pharmaceuticals(0.64)9 per month 5.27  0.03  9.12 (10.81) 81.23 
HILSHillstream Biopharma(0.01)2 per month 0.00 (0.14) 7.89 (8.33) 24.20 
FWBIFirst Wave BioPharma 0.39 9 per month 0.00 (0.02) 14.96 (11.73) 44.94 
DRMADermata Therapeutics(0.01)4 per month 0.00 (0.07) 9.30 (6.12) 39.87 
PBLAPanbela Therapeutics 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.11) 20.35 (27.58) 186.35 

ContraFect Corp Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine ContraFect price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ContraFect using various technical indicators. When you analyze ContraFect charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About ContraFect Corp Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of ContraFect Corp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as ContraFect Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of ContraFect Corp based on analysis of ContraFect Corp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to ContraFect Corp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to ContraFect Corp's related companies.

Story Coverage note for ContraFect Corp

The number of cover stories for ContraFect Corp depends on current market conditions and ContraFect Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ContraFect Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ContraFect Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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ContraFect Corp Short Properties

ContraFect Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when ContraFect Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of ContraFect Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential ContraFect Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ContraFect Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding521.4 K
Cash And Short Term Investments13.7 M
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.

Other Consideration for investing in ContraFect Stock

If you are still planning to invest in ContraFect Corp check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the ContraFect Corp's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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