Chagee Holdings Limited Stock Price Prediction
| CHA Stock | USD 13.07 1.15 8.09% |
Momentum 32
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.90) | EPS Estimate Current Year 13.3384 | EPS Estimate Next Year 14.2563 | Wall Street Target Price 27.0806 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.102 |
Using Chagee Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Chagee Holdings Limited from the perspective of Chagee Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Chagee Holdings Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Chagee Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Chagee. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Chagee can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Chagee Holdings Limited. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Chagee Holdings' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Chagee Holdings.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Chagee Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Chagee because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Chagee Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 12.76 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Chagee Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Chagee Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Chagee Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Chagee Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Chagee Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Chagee Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Chagee Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Chagee Holdings' historical news coverage. Chagee Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.74 and 15.78, respectively. We have considered Chagee Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Chagee Holdings is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Chagee Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Chagee Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Chagee Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Chagee Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Chagee Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.80 | 3.02 | 0.31 | 0.34 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
13.07 | 12.76 | 2.37 |
|
Chagee Holdings Hype Timeline
On the 21st of November Chagee Holdings is traded for 13.07. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.31, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.34. Chagee is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 12.76. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -2.37%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.8%. The volatility of related hype on Chagee Holdings is about 717.15%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.41. About 15.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Chagee Holdings was currently reported as 47.32. The company last dividend was issued on the 29th of May 2020. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Chagee Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Chagee Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Chagee Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Chagee Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Chagee Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Chagee Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CCU | Compania Cervecerias Unidas | (0.24) | 9 per month | 1.78 | 0.04 | 2.45 | (2.48) | 9.55 | |
| COCO | Vita Coco | 1.71 | 9 per month | 2.80 | 0.14 | 4.79 | (4.76) | 13.09 | |
| SAM | Boston Beer | 1.73 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.91 | (4.17) | 10.23 | |
| FIZZ | National Beverage Corp | (0.09) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 2.67 | (3.05) | 11.42 | |
| FLO | Flowers Foods | (0.48) | 24 per month | 0.00 | (0.35) | 2.23 | (3.64) | 7.20 | |
| CHEF | The Chefs Warehouse | 1.64 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 2.83 | (3.66) | 11.32 | |
| IPAR | Inter Parfums | (0.25) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 1.96 | (4.20) | 10.96 | |
| RLX | RLX Technology | 0.64 | 18 per month | 1.33 | 0.07 | 3.85 | (2.61) | 12.28 | |
| SMPL | Simply Good Foods | (0.87) | 18 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 2.72 | (3.68) | 20.64 |
Chagee Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Chagee price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Chagee using various technical indicators. When you analyze Chagee charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Chagee Holdings Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Chagee Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Chagee Holdings Limited, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Chagee Holdings based on analysis of Chagee Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Chagee Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Chagee Holdings's related companies. | 2010 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 5.58 | 5.95 | 11.26 | 6.08 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 33.78 | 5.68 | 7.17 | 6.81 |
Story Coverage note for Chagee Holdings
The number of cover stories for Chagee Holdings depends on current market conditions and Chagee Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Chagee Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Chagee Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Chagee Holdings Short Properties
Chagee Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Chagee Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Chagee Holdings Limited often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Chagee Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Chagee Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 183.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.9 B |
Complementary Tools for Chagee Stock analysis
When running Chagee Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Chagee Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Chagee Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Chagee Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Chagee Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Chagee Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Chagee Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Price Exposure Probability Analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets | |
| Competition Analyzer Analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities | |
| Sectors List of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities |