Companhia Paranaense De Stock Price Prediction
| ELP Stock | USD 10.26 0.07 0.69% |
Momentum 49
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.68) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.07) | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.706 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.917 | Wall Street Target Price 12.2667 |
Using Companhia Paranaense hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Companhia Paranaense de from the perspective of Companhia Paranaense response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Companhia Paranaense using Companhia Paranaense's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Companhia using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Companhia Paranaense's stock price.
Companhia Paranaense Short Interest
An investor who is long Companhia Paranaense may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Companhia Paranaense and may potentially protect profits, hedge Companhia Paranaense with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 8.8228 | Short Percent 0.0011 | Short Ratio 3.14 | Shares Short Prior Month 636.8 K | 50 Day MA 10.1406 |
Companhia Paranaense Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Companhia Paranaense's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Companhia. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Companhia can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Companhia Paranaense de. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Companhia Paranaense's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Companhia Paranaense.
Companhia Paranaense Implied Volatility | 2.9 |
Companhia Paranaense's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Companhia Paranaense de stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Companhia Paranaense's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Companhia Paranaense stock will not fluctuate a lot when Companhia Paranaense's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Companhia Paranaense to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Companhia because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Companhia Paranaense after-hype prediction price | USD 10.21 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Companhia Paranaense After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Companhia Paranaense at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Companhia Paranaense or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Companhia Paranaense, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Companhia Paranaense Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Companhia Paranaense's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Companhia Paranaense's historical news coverage. Companhia Paranaense's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.51 and 11.91, respectively. We have considered Companhia Paranaense's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Companhia Paranaense is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Companhia Paranaense is based on 3 months time horizon.
Companhia Paranaense Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Companhia Paranaense is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Companhia Paranaense backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Companhia Paranaense, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.20 | 1.69 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 8 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
10.26 | 10.21 | 0.20 |
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Companhia Paranaense Hype Timeline
On the 8th of December Companhia Paranaense is traded for 10.26. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Companhia is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 10.21 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 0.2%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.2%. The volatility of related hype on Companhia Paranaense is about 1078.72%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.29. The company reported the last year's revenue of 22.65 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 429.99 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 4.58 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Companhia Paranaense Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Companhia Paranaense Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Companhia Paranaense's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Companhia Paranaense's future price movements. Getting to know how Companhia Paranaense's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Companhia Paranaense may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BIP | Brookfield Infrastructure Partners | (0.14) | 6 per month | 0.71 | 0.16 | 1.86 | (1.59) | 6.80 | |
| CIG-C | Energy of Minas | 0.10 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.73 | (3.27) | 8.38 | |
| CIG | Companhia Energetica de | 0.02 | 7 per month | 2.04 | (0.03) | 2.45 | (3.37) | 8.20 | |
| AES | The AES | (0.33) | 9 per month | 1.79 | 0.04 | 2.66 | (2.56) | 23.91 | |
| UGI | UGI Corporation | 2.61 | 9 per month | 1.01 | 0.06 | 2.17 | (1.36) | 10.26 | |
| OGE | OGE Energy | (0.13) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 1.43 | (1.72) | 3.78 | |
| IDA | IDACORP | (0.81) | 10 per month | 0.86 | (0.05) | 1.24 | (1.40) | 3.68 | |
| BKH | Black Hills | 0.17 | 10 per month | 0.97 | 0.15 | 2.01 | (1.87) | 7.24 | |
| CMS | CMS Energy | (0.08) | 10 per month | 1.15 | (0.07) | 1.29 | (1.56) | 5.00 |
Companhia Paranaense Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Companhia price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Companhia using various technical indicators. When you analyze Companhia charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Companhia Paranaense Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Companhia Paranaense stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Companhia Paranaense de, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Companhia Paranaense based on analysis of Companhia Paranaense hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Companhia Paranaense's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Companhia Paranaense's related companies. | 2021 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | PTB Ratio | 0.34 | 1.14 | 1.19 | Dividend Yield | 0.51 | 0.008783 | 0.008344 |
Story Coverage note for Companhia Paranaense
The number of cover stories for Companhia Paranaense depends on current market conditions and Companhia Paranaense's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Companhia Paranaense is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Companhia Paranaense's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Companhia Paranaense Short Properties
Companhia Paranaense's future price predictability will typically decrease when Companhia Paranaense's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Companhia Paranaense de often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Companhia Paranaense's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Companhia Paranaense's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 745.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.2 B |
Additional Tools for Companhia Stock Analysis
When running Companhia Paranaense's price analysis, check to measure Companhia Paranaense's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Companhia Paranaense is operating at the current time. Most of Companhia Paranaense's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Companhia Paranaense's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Companhia Paranaense's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Companhia Paranaense to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.