Firefly Aerospace Common Stock Price Prediction
| FLY Stock | USD 28.18 1.06 3.91% |
Momentum 35
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Firefly Aerospace hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Firefly Aerospace Common from the perspective of Firefly Aerospace response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Firefly Aerospace to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Firefly because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Firefly Aerospace after-hype prediction price | USD 27.98 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Firefly Aerospace Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Firefly Aerospace After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Firefly Aerospace at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Firefly Aerospace or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Firefly Aerospace, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Firefly Aerospace Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Firefly Aerospace's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Firefly Aerospace's historical news coverage. Firefly Aerospace's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 20.53 and 35.43, respectively. We have considered Firefly Aerospace's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Firefly Aerospace is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Firefly Aerospace Common is based on 3 months time horizon.
Firefly Aerospace Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Firefly Aerospace is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Firefly Aerospace backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Firefly Aerospace, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.60 | 7.40 | 0.00 | 0.60 | 0 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
28.18 | 27.98 | 3.17 |
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Firefly Aerospace Hype Timeline
On the 22nd of October Firefly Aerospace Common is traded for 28.18. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.6. Firefly is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 27.98 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 3.17%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.6%. The volatility of related hype on Firefly Aerospace is about 734.86%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 27.58. Firefly Aerospace Common has 6.35 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 2.44, meaning that the company heavily relies on borrowing funds for operations. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in a few days. Check out Firefly Aerospace Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Firefly Aerospace Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Firefly Aerospace's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Firefly Aerospace's future price movements. Getting to know how Firefly Aerospace's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Firefly Aerospace may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SPR | Spirit Aerosystems Holdings | (4.53) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.51 | (2.07) | 7.51 | |
| PL | Planet Labs PBC | 1.18 | 24 per month | 3.12 | 0.16 | 7.80 | (6.21) | 60.26 | |
| RAL | Ralliant Common | (1.02) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.05 | (3.27) | 9.31 | |
| MRCY | Mercury Systems | 1.18 | 3 per month | 1.86 | 0.15 | 4.44 | (2.43) | 36.07 | |
| EOSE | Eos Energy Enterprises | (5.63) | 19 per month | 3.40 | 0.27 | 10.38 | (4.72) | 38.85 | |
| HXL | Hexcel | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.37 | (0.02) | 2.77 | (2.28) | 7.54 | |
| LUNR | Intuitive Machines | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.59 | (0.02) | 5.56 | (8.15) | 21.21 | |
| LSTR | Landstar System | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.82 | (0.04) | 3.23 | (3.29) | 9.58 | |
| ENS | Enersys | (0.87) | 12 per month | 1.01 | 0.24 | 3.37 | (2.33) | 8.16 | |
| PLUG | Plug Power | (0.38) | 6 per month | 4.20 | 0.13 | 19.05 | (8.24) | 44.24 |
Firefly Aerospace Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Firefly price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Firefly using various technical indicators. When you analyze Firefly charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Firefly Aerospace Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Firefly Aerospace stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Firefly Aerospace Common, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Firefly Aerospace based on analysis of Firefly Aerospace hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Firefly Aerospace's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Firefly Aerospace's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Firefly Aerospace
The number of cover stories for Firefly Aerospace depends on current market conditions and Firefly Aerospace's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Firefly Aerospace is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Firefly Aerospace's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Firefly Aerospace Short Properties
Firefly Aerospace's future price predictability will typically decrease when Firefly Aerospace's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Firefly Aerospace Common often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Firefly Aerospace's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Firefly Aerospace's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 143.1 M |
Additional Tools for Firefly Stock Analysis
When running Firefly Aerospace's price analysis, check to measure Firefly Aerospace's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Firefly Aerospace is operating at the current time. Most of Firefly Aerospace's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Firefly Aerospace's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Firefly Aerospace's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Firefly Aerospace to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.