Lancaster Colony Stock Price Prediction
| LANC Stock | USD 191.50 0.50 0.26% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
30
Oversold | Overbought |
Lancaster Colony stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Lancaster Colony shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Lancaster Colony's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Lancaster Colony and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Lancaster Colony's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Lancaster Colony, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Lancaster Colony's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.043 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.25 | EPS Estimate Current Year 6.27 | EPS Estimate Next Year 6.92 | Wall Street Target Price 211.4 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Lancaster Colony based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Lancaster stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Lancaster Colony over a specific investment horizon. Using Lancaster Colony hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lancaster Colony from the perspective of Lancaster Colony response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Lancaster Colony using Lancaster Colony's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Lancaster using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Lancaster Colony's stock price.
Lancaster Colony Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Lancaster Colony's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Lancaster. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Lancaster Colony stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Lancaster Colony may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Lancaster Colony and may potentially protect profits, hedge Lancaster Colony with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 180.4578 | Short Percent 0.0335 | Short Ratio 5.4 | Shares Short Prior Month 631.1 K | 50 Day MA 198.9576 |
Lancaster Colony Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Lancaster Colony's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Lancaster. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Lancaster can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Lancaster Colony. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Lancaster Colony's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Lancaster Colony.
Lancaster Colony Implied Volatility | 0.0 |
Lancaster Colony's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Lancaster Colony stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Lancaster Colony's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Lancaster Colony stock will not fluctuate a lot when Lancaster Colony's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Lancaster Colony. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Lancaster Colony to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Lancaster because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Lancaster Colony after-hype prediction price | USD 191.31 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Lancaster contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Lancaster Colony will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0% per day over the life of the 2024-05-17 option contract. With Lancaster Colony trading at USD 191.5, that is roughly USD 0.0 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Lancaster Colony's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Lancaster Colony options at the current volatility level of 0.0%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Lancaster |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lancaster Colony's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Lancaster Colony After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Lancaster Colony at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lancaster Colony or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lancaster Colony, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Lancaster Colony Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Lancaster Colony's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lancaster Colony's historical news coverage. Lancaster Colony's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 190.10 and 192.52, respectively. We have considered Lancaster Colony's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Lancaster Colony is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lancaster Colony is based on 3 months time horizon.
Lancaster Colony Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lancaster Colony is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lancaster Colony backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lancaster Colony, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.03 | 1.21 | 0.19 | 0.00 | 9 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
191.50 | 191.31 | 0.10 |
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Lancaster Colony Hype Timeline
Lancaster Colony is now traded for 191.50. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.19, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Lancaster is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 191.31. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 19.36%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.1%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.03%. The volatility of related hype on Lancaster Colony is about 1210.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 191.50. About 28.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company last dividend was issued on the 6th of March 2024. Lancaster Colony had 3:2 split on the 28th of January 1998. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Lancaster Colony Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Lancaster Colony Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Lancaster Colony's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lancaster Colony's future price movements. Getting to know how Lancaster Colony's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lancaster Colony may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CENT | Central Garden Pet | (0.21) | 9 per month | 1.61 | 0.06 | 4.60 | (2.99) | 10.31 | |
| CENTA | Central Garden Pet | (0.19) | 9 per month | 1.56 | 0.03 | 3.61 | (2.92) | 10.17 | |
| ACOPY | The A2 Milk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.37 | 0.14 | 4.67 | (3.38) | 20.80 | |
| AVOZ | Altavoz Entertainment | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Lancaster Colony Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Lancaster price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lancaster using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lancaster charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Lancaster Colony Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Lancaster Colony stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Lancaster Colony, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Lancaster Colony based on analysis of Lancaster Colony hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Lancaster Colony's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Lancaster Colony's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0245 | 0.0167 | 0.0151 | 0.0211 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.11 | 3.03 | 2.73 | 2.86 |
Story Coverage note for Lancaster Colony
The number of cover stories for Lancaster Colony depends on current market conditions and Lancaster Colony's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lancaster Colony is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lancaster Colony's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Lancaster Colony Short Properties
Lancaster Colony's future price predictability will typically decrease when Lancaster Colony's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Lancaster Colony often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Lancaster Colony's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lancaster Colony's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 27.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 88.5 M |
Check out Lancaster Colony Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Lancaster Stock refer to our How to Trade Lancaster Stock guide.You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.
Complementary Tools for Lancaster Stock analysis
When running Lancaster Colony's price analysis, check to measure Lancaster Colony's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lancaster Colony is operating at the current time. Most of Lancaster Colony's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lancaster Colony's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lancaster Colony's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lancaster Colony to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Lancaster Colony's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lancaster Colony. If investors know Lancaster will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lancaster Colony listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.043 | Dividend Share 3.35 | Earnings Share 4.69 | Revenue Per Share 68.016 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.202 |
The market value of Lancaster Colony is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lancaster that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lancaster Colony's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lancaster Colony's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lancaster Colony's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lancaster Colony's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lancaster Colony's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lancaster Colony is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lancaster Colony's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.