Carlyle Group Stock Analysis

CG Stock  USD 51.17  0.50  0.99%   
Carlyle Group is overvalued with Real Value of 39.17 and Target Price of 49.17. The main objective of Carlyle stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Carlyle Group is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Carlyle's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Carlyle stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Carlyle's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Carlyle Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.

Carlyle Stock Analysis Notes

About 26.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Carlyle was currently reported as 15.46. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.22. Carlyle Group last dividend was issued on the 19th of May 2025. The Carlyle Group Inc. is an investment firm specializing in direct and fund of fund investments. The Carlyle Group Inc. was founded in 1987 and is based in Washington, District of Columbia with additional offices in 21 countries across 5 continents . Carlyle operates under Asset Management classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 1850 people. For more info on Carlyle Group please contact William Conway at (202) 729-5626 or go to https://www.carlyle.com.

Carlyle Group Investment Alerts

Carlyle Group had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Carlyle Group reports about 1.61 B in cash with (759.5 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.42.
Roughly 65.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 27th of May 2025 Carlyle paid $ 0.35 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Insider Buying Nishil Mehta Acquires Additional Shares of Carlyle Credit Income Fund

Carlyle Group Upcoming and Recent Events

7th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
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2nd of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
7th of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
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31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View

Carlyle Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Carlyle's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2020-10-29
2020-09-300.360.40.0411 
2016-07-27
2016-06-300.310.350.0412 
2021-04-29
2021-03-310.520.580.0611 
View All Earnings Estimates

Carlyle Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Carlyle's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Carlyle's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Carlyle's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Carlyle's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Carlyle Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Carlyle stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Management Idea
Management
Management services
Trading Idea
Trading
USA Equities from Trading industry as classified by Fama & French

Carlyle Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Vulcan Value Partners, Llc2025-03-31
5.2 M
Ariel Investments, Llc2025-03-31
4.8 M
Geode Capital Management, Llc2025-03-31
4.1 M
Ubs Group Ag2024-12-31
3.2 M
Legal & General Group Plc2025-03-31
3.1 M
Beutel, Goodman & Company Ltd.2025-03-31
2.9 M
Ameriprise Financial Inc2025-03-31
2.7 M
Frontier Capital Management Co Inc2025-03-31
2.6 M
Fmr Inc2025-03-31
2.6 M
Blackrock Inc2025-03-31
29.3 M
Vanguard Group Inc2025-03-31
24.3 M
Note, although Carlyle's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Carlyle Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Large-Cap' category with a market capitalization of 18.3 B.

Carlyle Profitablity

The company has Net Profit Margin (PM) of 0.22 %, which suggests that even a small decline in it sales will erase profits and may result in a net loss, or a negative profit margin. This is way below average. Likewise, it shows Net Operating Margin (NOM) of 0.2 %, which signifies that for every $100 of sales, it has a net operating income of $0.2.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.05  0.05 
Return On Capital Employed 0.06  0.11 
Return On Assets 0.04  0.05 
Return On Equity 0.18  0.17 

Management Efficiency

Carlyle Group has Return on Asset (ROA) of 0.0512 % which means that for every $100 of assets, it generated a profit of $0.0512. This is way below average. Likewise, it shows a return on total equity (ROE) of 0.1898 %, which means that it produced $0.1898 on every 100 dollars invested by current stockholders. Carlyle's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Carlyle manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. At this time, Carlyle's Return On Assets are most likely to slightly decrease in the upcoming years. At this time, Carlyle's Net Tangible Assets are most likely to decrease significantly in the upcoming years. The Carlyle's current Return On Tangible Assets is estimated to increase to 0.05, while Other Assets are projected to decrease to roughly 12.2 B.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 17.70  16.82 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 15.93  15.14 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 16.16  11.33 
Price Book Value Ratio 3.23  4.70 
Enterprise Value Multiple 16.16  11.33 
Price Fair Value 3.23  4.70 
Enterprise Value25.5 B26.8 B
At Carlyle Group, effective management practices are pivotal to sustaining long-term profitability. We delve into financial metrics and market conditions to provide a comprehensive analysis of the stock's prospects.
Dividend Yield
0.0276
Operating Margin
0.1982
Profit Margin
0.2153
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0276
Beta
1.837

Technical Drivers

As of the 27th of June, Carlyle shows the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1024, mean deviation of 2.38, and Downside Deviation of 4.63. Carlyle Group technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Carlyle Group value at risk, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and semi variance to decide if Carlyle Group is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 51.17 per share. Given that Carlyle has jensen alpha of 0.1519, we suggest you to validate Carlyle Group's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Carlyle Group Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was thirty-five with a total number of output elements of twenty-six. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Carlyle middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Carlyle Group. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Carlyle Group Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Carlyle insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Carlyle's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Carlyle insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Carlyle Outstanding Bonds

Carlyle issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Carlyle Group uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Carlyle bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Carlyle Group has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Carlyle Predictive Daily Indicators

Carlyle intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Carlyle stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Carlyle Corporate Filings

F4
2nd of June 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
30th of May 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
29th of May 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
28th of May 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
13th of May 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify
10Q
9th of May 2025
Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations
ViewVerify
8K
8th of May 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
2nd of May 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify

Carlyle Forecast Models

Carlyle's time-series forecasting models are one of many Carlyle's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Carlyle's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Carlyle Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Carlyle prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Carlyle shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Carlyle. By using and applying Carlyle Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Carlyle entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.34  0.36 
Operating Profit Margin 0.34  0.36 
Net Profit Margin 0.25  0.26 
Gross Profit Margin 0.83  0.66 

Current Carlyle Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Carlyle analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Carlyle analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
49.17Buy18Odds
Carlyle Group current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Carlyle analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Carlyle stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Carlyle Group, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Carlyle conference calls.
Carlyle Analyst Advice Details

Carlyle Stock Analysis Indicators

Carlyle Group stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Carlyle stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Carlyle shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Carlyle stock analysis, traders can identify Carlyle position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow1.4 B
Common Stock Shares Outstanding368 M
Total Stockholder Equity5.6 B
Tax Provision302.6 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.944
Property Plant And Equipment Net526.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.1 B
Cash2.1 B
Net Debt7.4 B
50 Day M A43.631
Total Current Liabilities380.6 M
Other Operating Expenses2.7 B
Non Current Assets Total1.2 B
Forward Price Earnings12.987
Non Currrent Assets Other15.5 B
Stock Based Compensation467.9 M

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When running Carlyle's price analysis, check to measure Carlyle's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Carlyle is operating at the current time. Most of Carlyle's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Carlyle's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Carlyle's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Carlyle to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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