Forestar Group Stock Analysis

FOR Stock  USD 33.57  1.24  3.84%   
Forestar Group is fairly valued with Real Value of 33.03 and Target Price of 31.33. The main objective of Forestar stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Forestar Group is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Forestar's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis. Fundamental analysis focuses on the financial and economic factors that affect Forestar's performance, such as revenue growth, earnings, and financial stability. Technical analysis, on the other hand, focuses on the price and volume data of Forestar's stock to identify patterns and trends that may indicate its future price movements.
The Forestar stock is traded in the USA on New York Stock Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Forestar is usually not traded on Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day. Forestar Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Forestar's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
  
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Forestar Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.

Forestar Stock Analysis Notes

About 63.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.33. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Forestar Group had not issued any dividends in recent years. Forestar Group Inc. operates as a residential lot development company in the United States. It sells its residential single-family finished lots to homebuilders. Forestar operates under Real EstateDevelopment classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 312 people. To learn more about Forestar Group call Daniel Bartok at 817 769 1860 or check out https://www.forestar.com.

Forestar Quarterly Total Revenue

333.8 Million

Forestar Group Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Forestar's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Forestar Group or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
The company has 695 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.62, which is OK given its current industry classification. Forestar Group has a current ratio of 0.91, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Forestar until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Forestar's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Forestar Group sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Forestar to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Forestar's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 63.0% of Forestar shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from investing.com: Forestar Group CEO buys 99,991 in company stock

Forestar Group Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by Forestar to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Forestar previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
18th of April 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
18th of July 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of March 2024
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
5th of November 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
31st of December 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
30th of September 2023
Last Financial Announcement
View

Forestar Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Forestar's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2014-08-06
2014-06-300.10.09-0.0110 
2008-11-05
2008-09-300.010.020.01100 
2014-11-05
2014-09-300.10.120.0220 
View All Earnings Estimates

Forestar Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Forestar stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Real Estate Idea
Real Estate
USA Equities from Real Estate industry as classified by Fama & French

Forestar Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Forestar is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Forestar Group backward and forwards among themselves. Forestar's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Forestar's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Nuveen Asset Management, Llc2023-12-31
353.8 K
American Century Companies Inc2023-12-31
299.5 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2023-12-31
274.9 K
Jacobs Levy Equity Management, Inc.2023-09-30
261.1 K
Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership2023-12-31
245.2 K
Prudential Financial Inc2023-12-31
238.2 K
Venator Capital Management Ltd.2023-09-30
211 K
Aqr Capital Management Llc2023-12-31
198.6 K
Northern Trust Corp2023-12-31
198.5 K
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
2.8 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2023-12-31
M
Note, although Forestar's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Forestar Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 1.64 B. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate Forestar's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by Forestar's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and those looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.

Forestar Profitablity

Forestar's profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase Forestar's ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, Forestar is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, Forestar's executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of Forestar's profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of Forestar's financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
The company has Net Profit Margin of 0.13 %, which implies that it may need a different competitive strategy as even a very small decline in it revenue may erase profits and result in a net loss. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 0.16 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated $0.16 of operating income.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.07  0.07 
Return On Capital Employed 0.05  0.09 
Return On Assets 0.07  0.07 
Return On Equity 0.08  0.09 

Management Efficiency

Forestar Group has Return on Asset of 0.0625 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.0625 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 0.1487 %, implying that it generated $0.1487 on every 100 dollars invested. Forestar's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Forestar manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. As of 05/04/2024, Return On Tangible Assets is likely to grow to 0.07. Also, Return On Capital Employed is likely to grow to 0.09. At this time, Forestar's Return On Assets are relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 05/04/2024, Asset Turnover is likely to grow to 0.24, while Total Current Assets are likely to drop slightly above 406 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 14.34  12.84 
Net Current Asset Value 0.00  0.00 
Tangible Asset Value 0.00  0.00 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 14.36  12.55 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA(15.29)(14.53)
Price Book Value Ratio 1.53  1.42 
Enterprise Value Multiple(15.29)(14.53)
Price Fair Value 1.53  1.42 
Enterprise Value666.1 M844.4 M
The analysis of Forestar's management efficiency is an essential part of evaluating and assessing the financial and operational performance of the entity. It is also vital to analyze Forestar's future growth prospects and the overall market conditions to determine the value and potential of its stock. The analysis involves studying a range of financial metrics such as revenue, earnings, profit margins, cash flow, debt, market share, and external factors such as economic trends, industry outlook, competition, and government regulations. The goal of Forestar Stock analysis is to determine whether it is undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued and to make informed investment decisions.
Beta
1.703

Technical Drivers

As of the 4th of May, Forestar shows the Coefficient Of Variation of 4286.4, mean deviation of 1.87, and Downside Deviation of 3.15. Forestar Group technical analysis allows you to utilize historical prices and volume patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the firm's future prices. Put another way, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical prices and volume momentum, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to break down and interpolate data for nineteen technical drivers for Forestar Group, which can be compared to its peers. Please confirm Forestar Group variance, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the Value At Risk and skewness to decide if Forestar Group is priced favorably, providing market reflects its regular price of 33.57 per share. Given that Forestar has jensen alpha of (0.06), we urge you to verify Forestar Group's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Forestar Group Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was thirty-four with a total number of output elements of twenty-seven. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Forestar middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Forestar Group. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Forestar Group Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Forestar insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Forestar's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Forestar insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Forestar Outstanding Bonds

Forestar issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Forestar Group uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Forestar bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Forestar Group has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Forestar Predictive Daily Indicators

Forestar intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Forestar stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Forestar Corporate Filings

F4
1st of May 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
10Q
23rd of April 2024
Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations
ViewVerify
8K
18th of April 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
1st of April 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
25th of March 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
19th of March 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
12th of March 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
5th of March 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify

Forestar Forecast Models

Forestar's time-series forecasting models are one of many Forestar's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Forestar's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Forestar Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Forestar prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Forestar shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Forestar. By using and applying Forestar Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Forestar entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.46  0.48 
Operating Profit Margin 0.35  0.26 
Net Profit Margin 0.44  0.46 
Gross Profit Margin 0.04  0.04 

Current Forestar Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Forestar analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Forestar analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
31.33Strong Buy4Odds
Forestar Group current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Forestar analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Forestar stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Forestar Group, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Forestar conference calls.
Forestar Analyst Advice Details

Forestar Stock Analysis Indicators

Forestar Group stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Forestar stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Forestar shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Forestar stock analysis, traders can identify Forestar position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow264.8 M
Total Stockholder Equity1.4 B
Capital Lease Obligations8.1 M
Property Plant And Equipment Net5.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments616 M
Cash616 M
50 Day M A35.4446
Net Interest Income13.6 M
Total Current Liabilities233.7 M
Investments300 K
Stock Based Compensation4.3 M
Long Term Debt695 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding50.1 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities300 K
Tax Provision54.7 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.652
Other Current Assets-641.7 M
Accounts Payable68.4 M
Net Debt79 M
Other Operating Expenses1.2 B
Non Current Assets Total1.9 B
Liabilities And Stockholders Equity2.5 B
Non Currrent Assets Other1.8 B
When determining whether Forestar Group is a strong investment it is important to analyze Forestar's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Forestar's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Forestar Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Forestar Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.
You can also try the USA ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA.

Complementary Tools for Forestar Stock analysis

When running Forestar's price analysis, check to measure Forestar's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Forestar is operating at the current time. Most of Forestar's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Forestar's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Forestar's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Forestar to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Headlines Timeline
Stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity
Portfolio Center
All portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios
Equity Forecasting
Use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum
Content Syndication
Quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal
Money Managers
Screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world
Equity Search
Search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets
My Watchlist Analysis
Analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like
Pair Correlation
Compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments
Portfolio Volatility
Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk
ETF Categories
List of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments
Portfolio Backtesting
Avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios
Sign In To Macroaxis
Sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules
Idea Optimizer
Use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio
Is Forestar's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Forestar. If investors know Forestar will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Forestar listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.652
Earnings Share
4.03
Revenue Per Share
31.117
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.107
Return On Assets
0.0625
The market value of Forestar Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Forestar that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Forestar's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Forestar's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Forestar's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Forestar's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Forestar's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Forestar is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Forestar's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.