Aeluma Stock Technical Analysis
| ALMU Stock | 17.15 0.27 1.60% |
As of the 29th of January, Aeluma shows the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0388, downside deviation of 5.37, and Mean Deviation of 4.01. Aeluma technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices.
Aeluma Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Aeluma, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to AelumaAeluma's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Is there potential for Stock market expansion? Will Aeluma introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Aeluma. If investors know Aeluma will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Aeluma listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Aeluma's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Aeluma's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Aeluma's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Since Aeluma's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Understanding that Aeluma's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Aeluma represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. However, Aeluma's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Aeluma 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Aeluma's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Aeluma.
| 10/31/2025 |
| 01/29/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Aeluma on October 31, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Aeluma or generate 0.0% return on investment in Aeluma over 90 days. Aeluma is related to or competes with GSI Technology, Xperi Corp, Everspin Technologies, Vuzix Corp, AudioCodes, 8x8 Common, and SmartRent. More
Aeluma Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Aeluma's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Aeluma upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 5.37 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.03 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 24.74 | |||
| Value At Risk | (6.86) | |||
| Potential Upside | 8.39 |
Aeluma Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Aeluma's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Aeluma's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Aeluma historical prices to predict the future Aeluma's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0388 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0827 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.17) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0299 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0841 |
Aeluma January 29, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0388 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0941 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 4.01 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.98 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 5.37 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 2410.0 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.35 | |||
| Variance | 28.63 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.03 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0827 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.17) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0299 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0841 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 24.74 | |||
| Value At Risk | (6.86) | |||
| Potential Upside | 8.39 | |||
| Downside Variance | 28.89 | |||
| Semi Variance | 24.81 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.03) | |||
| Skewness | 0.2883 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.5496 |
Aeluma Backtested Returns
Aeluma appears to be somewhat reliable, given 3 months investment horizon. Aeluma secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0415, which signifies that the company had a 0.0415 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Aeluma, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of Aeluma's Mean Deviation of 4.01, risk adjusted performance of 0.0388, and Downside Deviation of 5.37 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Aeluma holds a performance score of 3. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.52, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Aeluma will likely underperform. Please check Aeluma's downside variance, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and accumulation distribution , to make a quick decision on whether Aeluma's price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | -0.4 |
Poor reverse predictability
Aeluma has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Aeluma time series from 31st of October 2025 to 15th of December 2025 and 15th of December 2025 to 29th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Aeluma price movement. The serial correlation of -0.4 indicates that just about 40.0% of current Aeluma price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.4 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.08 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 6.76 |
Aeluma technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Aeluma Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Aeluma volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Aeluma Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Aeluma on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Aeluma based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Aeluma price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Aeluma. By analyzing Aeluma's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Aeluma's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Aeluma specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Aeluma January 29, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Aeluma help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Aeluma from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Aeluma charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0388 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0941 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 4.01 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.98 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 5.37 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 2410.0 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.35 | |||
| Variance | 28.63 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.03 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0827 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.17) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0299 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0841 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 24.74 | |||
| Value At Risk | (6.86) | |||
| Potential Upside | 8.39 | |||
| Downside Variance | 28.89 | |||
| Semi Variance | 24.81 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.03) | |||
| Skewness | 0.2883 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.5496 |
Aeluma January 29, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Aeluma stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.06 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.24 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | ||
| Day Median Price | 17.48 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 17.37 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.20) | ||
| Market Facilitation Index | 1.14 |
Additional Tools for Aeluma Stock Analysis
When running Aeluma's price analysis, check to measure Aeluma's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aeluma is operating at the current time. Most of Aeluma's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aeluma's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aeluma's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aeluma to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.