Methanex Valuation

MX Stock  CAD 46.34  0.48  1.03%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. Methanex secures a last-minute Real Value of C$39.19 per share. The latest price of the firm is C$46.34. Our model forecasts the value of Methanex from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Profit Margin of 0.06 %, current valuation of 6.06 B, and Return On Equity of 0.13 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Methanex's valuation include:
Price Book
1.0159
Enterprise Value
6.1 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
4.7549
Price Sales
0.8439
Forward PE
12.2399
Overvalued
Today
46.34
Please note that Methanex's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Methanex is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Methanex's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Methanex is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Methanex Stock. However, Methanex's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  46.34 Real  39.19 Hype  46.32 Naive  46.98
The intrinsic value of Methanex's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Methanex's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
39.19
Real Value
50.97
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Methanex helps investors to forecast how Methanex stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Methanex more accurately as focusing exclusively on Methanex's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
0.040.280.59
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
43.9346.3248.71
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowForecastedHigh
0.520.530.54
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Methanex's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Methanex's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Methanex's closest peers.

Methanex Cash

448.52 Million

Methanex Valuation Trend

Knowing Methanex's actual value is paramount for traders when making sound investment determinations. Using both Methanex's enterprise value as well as its market capitalization is the best way to estimate the value of the company and is usually enough for investors to make market timing decisions.

Methanex Total Value Analysis

Methanex is now anticipated to have takeover price of 6.06 B with market capitalization of 3.12 B, debt of 13.73 M, and cash on hands of 891.91 M. Please note that takeover price may be misleading and is a subject to mistakes in financial statements. We encourage investors to thoroughly investigate all of the Methanex fundamentals before making investing decisions based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
6.06 B
3.12 B
13.73 M
891.91 M

Methanex Investor Information

About 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.02. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Methanex has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.99. The entity last dividend was issued on the 16th of June 2025. Based on the key measurements obtained from Methanex's financial statements, Methanex may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average probability of going through some form of financial hardship next quarter.

Methanex Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Methanex has an asset utilization ratio of 56.39 percent. This suggests that the Company is making C$0.56 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Methanex is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
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Methanex Ownership Allocation

Methanex maintains a total of 67.4 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Methanex outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. These third-party entities are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to shop for positions in Methanex to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional holders are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Methanex. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Methanex as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Please note that no matter how many assets the company has, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Methanex Profitability Analysis

The company reported the revenue of 3.72 B. Net Income was 250.25 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 938.16 M.

Methanex Past Distributions to stockholders

About Methanex Valuation

We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Methanex. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Methanex based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Methanex's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Methanex's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Methanex. We calculate exposure to Methanex's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Methanex's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit1.1 B1.2 B
Pretax Profit Margin 0.08  0.07 
Operating Profit Margin 0.10  0.13 
Net Profit Margin 0.04  0.05 
Gross Profit Margin 0.19  0.23 
When determining whether Methanex offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Methanex's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Methanex Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Methanex Stock:
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Methanex. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.
To learn how to invest in Methanex Stock, please use our How to Invest in Methanex guide.
You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Methanex's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Methanex is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Methanex's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.