Associated Banc Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| ASB Stock | USD 27.35 0.55 2.05% |
Associated Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Associated Banc stock prices and determine the direction of Associated Banc Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Associated Banc's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The value of RSI of Associated Banc's share price is at 57. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Associated Banc, making its price go up or down. Momentum 57
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Oversold | Overbought |
Using Associated Banc hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Associated Banc Corp from the perspective of Associated Banc response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Associated Banc Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 27.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.41 and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.28. Associated Banc after-hype prediction price | USD 27.35 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Associated Banc Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Associated price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Associated using various technical indicators. When you analyze Associated charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Associated Banc Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Associated Banc Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 27.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.41, mean absolute percentage error of 0.28, and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.28.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Associated Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Associated Banc's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Associated Banc Stock Forecast Pattern
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Associated Banc Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Associated Banc's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Associated Banc's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 25.56 and 28.72, respectively. We have considered Associated Banc's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Associated Banc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Associated Banc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.8318 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4144 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.016 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 25.2773 |
Predictive Modules for Associated Banc
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Associated Banc Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Associated Banc's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Associated Banc After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Associated Banc at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Associated Banc or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Associated Banc, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Associated Banc Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Associated Banc's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Associated Banc's historical news coverage. Associated Banc's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 25.77 and 28.93, respectively. We have considered Associated Banc's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Associated Banc is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Associated Banc Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Associated Banc Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Associated Banc is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Associated Banc backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Associated Banc, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.19 | 1.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
27.35 | 27.35 | 0.00 |
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Associated Banc Hype Timeline
On the 29th of January Associated Banc Corp is traded for 27.35. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Associated is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.19%. %. The volatility of related hype on Associated Banc is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 27.35. About 88.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.93. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Associated Banc Corp has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.27. The entity last dividend was issued on the 1st of December 2025. The firm had 3:2 split on the 13th of May 2004. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Associated Banc to cross-verify your projections.Associated Banc Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Associated Banc's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Associated Banc's future price movements. Getting to know how Associated Banc's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Associated Banc may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SFBS | ServisFirst Bancshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.40 | 0.09 | 3.57 | (1.68) | 20.01 | |
| AVAL | Grupo Aval | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.50 | 0.14 | 4.39 | (3.23) | 11.84 | |
| TCBI | Texas Capital Bancshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.35 | 0.15 | 2.92 | (1.82) | 10.21 | |
| BANF | BancFirst | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.87 | (0.02) | 2.78 | (1.84) | 11.50 | |
| IBOC | International Bancshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.47 | 0.01 | 2.75 | (2.10) | 9.51 | |
| IFS | Intercorp Financial Services | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.41 | 0.11 | 3.68 | (2.88) | 5.62 | |
| WBS | Webster Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.10 | 0.13 | 2.80 | (1.77) | 7.21 | |
| CADE | Cadence Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.44 | 0.10 | 3.30 | (2.18) | 10.35 | |
| FFIN | First Financial Bankshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.23 | 0 | 2.50 | (1.75) | 7.40 | |
| UCB | United Community Banks | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.06 | 0.17 | 2.80 | (1.30) | 8.46 |
Other Forecasting Options for Associated Banc
For every potential investor in Associated, whether a beginner or expert, Associated Banc's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Associated Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Associated. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Associated Banc's price trends.Associated Banc Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Associated Banc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Associated Banc could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Associated Banc by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Associated Banc Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Associated Banc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Associated Banc shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Associated Banc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Associated Banc Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Associated Banc Risk Indicators
The analysis of Associated Banc's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Associated Banc's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting associated stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.14 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.21 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.58 | |||
| Variance | 2.5 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.02 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.47 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.43) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Associated Banc
The number of cover stories for Associated Banc depends on current market conditions and Associated Banc's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Associated Banc is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Associated Banc's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Associated Banc to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.
Is Stock space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Associated Banc. If investors know Associated will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Associated Banc assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Investors evaluate Associated Banc Corp using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Associated Banc's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Associated Banc's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Associated Banc's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Associated Banc represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Associated Banc's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.