Bath Body Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| BBWI Stock | USD 20.73 0.90 4.16% |
Bath Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Bath Body's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 29th of January 2026, the value of RSI of Bath Body's share price is approaching 44 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Bath Body, making its price go up or down. Momentum 44
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Bath Body hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bath Body Works from the perspective of Bath Body response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Bath Body Works on the next trading day is expected to be 20.73 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.53 and the sum of the absolute errors of 32.00. Bath Body after-hype prediction price | USD 20.73 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bath Body to cross-verify your projections. Bath Body Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Bath price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bath using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bath charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Bath Body Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Bath Body Works on the next trading day is expected to be 20.73 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.53, mean absolute percentage error of 0.80, and the sum of the absolute errors of 32.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bath Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bath Body's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Bath Body Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Bath Body | Bath Body Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Bath Body Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Bath Body's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bath Body's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 16.30 and 25.16, respectively. We have considered Bath Body's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bath Body stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bath Body stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.0534 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0573 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5333 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0275 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 32.0 |
Predictive Modules for Bath Body
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bath Body Works. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bath Body's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Bath Body After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Bath Body at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bath Body or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Bath Body, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Bath Body Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Bath Body's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bath Body's historical news coverage. Bath Body's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 16.30 and 25.16, respectively. We have considered Bath Body's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Bath Body is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bath Body Works is based on 3 months time horizon.
Bath Body Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bath Body is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bath Body backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bath Body, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.15 | 4.43 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
20.73 | 20.73 | 0.00 |
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Bath Body Hype Timeline
Bath Body Works is currently traded for 20.73. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.02. Bath is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.15%. %. The volatility of related hype on Bath Body is about 2839.74%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.71. About 100.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.1. Bath Body Works last dividend was issued on the 21st of November 2025. The entity had 1237:1000 split on the 3rd of August 2021. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bath Body to cross-verify your projections.Bath Body Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Bath Body's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bath Body's future price movements. Getting to know how Bath Body's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bath Body may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BBBY | Bed Bath Beyond | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 5.75 | (5.34) | 19.64 | |
| URBN | Urban Outfitters | (1.37) | 11 per month | 3.12 | 0.01 | 5.28 | (4.20) | 25.85 | |
| M | Macys Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.13 | 0.01 | 5.52 | (3.68) | 14.51 | |
| GPI | Group 1 Automotive | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.25 | (2.48) | 6.18 | |
| GNTX | Gentex | 0.20 | 6 per month | 1.01 | (0) | 2.63 | (2.01) | 7.12 | |
| TMHC | Taylor Morn Home | (0.59) | 7 per month | 1.32 | (0.01) | 3.92 | (2.69) | 10.34 | |
| REYN | Reynolds Consumer Products | 0.20 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.08 | (1.91) | 9.71 | |
| LCID | Lucid Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 5.28 | (7.29) | 21.68 | |
| ETSY | Etsy Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.69 | (4.60) | 14.29 | |
| MTH | Meritage | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.69 | 0.01 | 3.46 | (2.86) | 13.79 |
Other Forecasting Options for Bath Body
For every potential investor in Bath, whether a beginner or expert, Bath Body's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bath Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bath. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bath Body's price trends.Bath Body Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Bath Body stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Bath Body could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bath Body by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Bath Body Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bath Body stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bath Body shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bath Body stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Bath Body Works entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 219235.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.76) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.96 | |||
| Day Median Price | 21.19 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 21.04 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.91) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.90) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 44.83 |
Bath Body Risk Indicators
The analysis of Bath Body's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bath Body's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bath stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.6 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.43 | |||
| Variance | 19.64 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Bath Body
The number of cover stories for Bath Body depends on current market conditions and Bath Body's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bath Body is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bath Body's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Bath Body Short Properties
Bath Body's future price predictability will typically decrease when Bath Body's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Bath Body Works often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Bath Body's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bath Body's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 221 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 674 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bath Body to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.
Is there potential for Stock market expansion? Will Bath introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bath Body. Projected growth potential of Bath fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Bath Body listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Investors evaluate Bath Body Works using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Bath Body's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Bath Body's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Bath Body's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Bath Body should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Bath Body's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.