Batm Advanced Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

BVC Stock   88.00  2.20  2.44%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Batm Advanced Communications on the next trading day is expected to be 87.33 with a mean absolute deviation of  2.06  and the sum of the absolute errors of 125.80. Batm Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Batm Advanced stock prices and determine the direction of Batm Advanced Communications's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Batm Advanced's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Batm Advanced to cross-verify your projections.
  
Most investors in Batm Advanced cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Batm Advanced's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Batm Advanced's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Batm Advanced polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Batm Advanced Communications as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Batm Advanced Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 1st of May

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Batm Advanced Communications on the next trading day is expected to be 87.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.06, mean absolute percentage error of 6.81, and the sum of the absolute errors of 125.80.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Batm Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Batm Advanced's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Batm Advanced Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Batm AdvancedBatm Advanced Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Batm Advanced Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Batm Advanced's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Batm Advanced's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 84.90 and 89.77, respectively. We have considered Batm Advanced's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
88.00
87.33
Expected Value
89.77
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Batm Advanced stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Batm Advanced stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.0291
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation2.0623
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.021
SAESum of the absolute errors125.8019
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Batm Advanced historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Batm Advanced

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Batm Advanced Commun. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Batm Advanced's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
85.5788.0090.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
76.5178.9496.80
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
84.5589.4794.38
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Batm Advanced. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Batm Advanced's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Batm Advanced's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Batm Advanced Commun.

Other Forecasting Options for Batm Advanced

For every potential investor in Batm, whether a beginner or expert, Batm Advanced's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Batm Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Batm. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Batm Advanced's price trends.

Batm Advanced Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Batm Advanced stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Batm Advanced could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Batm Advanced by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Batm Advanced Commun Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Batm Advanced's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Batm Advanced's current price.

Batm Advanced Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Batm Advanced stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Batm Advanced shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Batm Advanced stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Batm Advanced Communications entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Batm Advanced Risk Indicators

The analysis of Batm Advanced's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Batm Advanced's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting batm stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Batm Advanced

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Batm Advanced position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Batm Advanced will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Batm Stock

  0.83PZOL Paz OilPairCorr
  0.79HARL Harel Insurance InvePairCorr
  0.78MGDL Migdal InsurancePairCorr
  0.73SAE ShufersalPairCorr
  0.68LUMI Bank Leumi LePairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Batm Advanced could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Batm Advanced when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Batm Advanced - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Batm Advanced Communications to buy it.
The correlation of Batm Advanced is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Batm Advanced moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Batm Advanced Commun moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Batm Advanced can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Batm Advanced to cross-verify your projections.
Note that the Batm Advanced Commun information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Batm Advanced's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.

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Please note, there is a significant difference between Batm Advanced's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Batm Advanced is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Batm Advanced's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.