Coastal Financial Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| CCB Stock | USD 100.81 0.14 0.14% |
Coastal Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Coastal Financial stock prices and determine the direction of Coastal Financial Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Coastal Financial's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the value of RSI of Coastal Financial's share price is approaching 39 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Coastal Financial, making its price go up or down. Momentum 39
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Coastal Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Coastal Financial Corp from the perspective of Coastal Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Coastal Financial Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 100.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 136.37. Coastal Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 100.81 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Coastal Financial to cross-verify your projections. Coastal Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Coastal price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Coastal using various technical indicators. When you analyze Coastal charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Coastal Financial Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Coastal Financial Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 100.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.31, mean absolute percentage error of 7.96, and the sum of the absolute errors of 136.37.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Coastal Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Coastal Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Coastal Financial Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Coastal Financial | Coastal Financial Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Coastal Financial Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Coastal Financial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Coastal Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 98.63 and 103.13, respectively. We have considered Coastal Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Coastal Financial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Coastal Financial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.509 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.1643 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.3113 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0211 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 136.365 |
Predictive Modules for Coastal Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Coastal Financial Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Coastal Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Coastal Financial After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Coastal Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Coastal Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Coastal Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Coastal Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Coastal Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Coastal Financial's historical news coverage. Coastal Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 98.56 and 103.06, respectively. We have considered Coastal Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Coastal Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Coastal Financial Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Coastal Financial Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Coastal Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Coastal Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Coastal Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 2.25 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 19 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 19 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
100.81 | 100.81 | 0.00 |
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Coastal Financial Hype Timeline
On the 29th of January Coastal Financial Corp is traded for 100.81. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Coastal is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.06%. %. The volatility of related hype on Coastal Financial is about 20454.55%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 100.81. About 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Coastal Financial was currently reported as 31.45. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 19 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Coastal Financial to cross-verify your projections.Coastal Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Coastal Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Coastal Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Coastal Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Coastal Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FCF | First Commonwealth Financial | 0.27 | 9 per month | 1.31 | 0.06 | 2.92 | (1.48) | 8.12 | |
| STEL | Stellar Bancorp | (0.61) | 10 per month | 0.73 | 0.15 | 2.67 | (1.75) | 8.20 | |
| NWBI | Northwest Bancshares | 0.49 | 7 per month | 1.35 | 0 | 3.66 | (2.50) | 7.37 | |
| CHCO | City Holding | (0.16) | 10 per month | 1.10 | (0.04) | 1.91 | (1.54) | 6.66 | |
| CLBK | Columbia Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.30 | 0.07 | 2.34 | (2.16) | 8.38 | |
| BLX | Foreign Trade Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.83 | 0.14 | 2.74 | (1.70) | 5.44 | |
| NIC | Nicolet Bankshares | 0.18 | 8 per month | 1.44 | 0.10 | 3.09 | (2.78) | 13.07 | |
| TCBK | TriCo Bancshares | (0.28) | 10 per month | 1.03 | 0.11 | 3.41 | (1.67) | 7.18 | |
| LKFN | Lakeland Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.23 | (0) | 3.46 | (2.49) | 7.37 | |
| LOB | Live Oak Bancshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.33 | 0.15 | 5.13 | (2.37) | 9.65 |
Other Forecasting Options for Coastal Financial
For every potential investor in Coastal, whether a beginner or expert, Coastal Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Coastal Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Coastal. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Coastal Financial's price trends.Coastal Financial Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Coastal Financial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Coastal Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Coastal Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Coastal Financial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Coastal Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Coastal Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Coastal Financial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Coastal Financial Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 19574.07 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.02) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 102.74 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 102.09 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.99) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.14) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 39.1 |
Coastal Financial Risk Indicators
The analysis of Coastal Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Coastal Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting coastal stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.75 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.25 | |||
| Variance | 5.08 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Coastal Financial
The number of cover stories for Coastal Financial depends on current market conditions and Coastal Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Coastal Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Coastal Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Coastal Financial Short Properties
Coastal Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Coastal Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Coastal Financial Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Coastal Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Coastal Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 13.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 452.5 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Coastal Financial to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
Is Stock space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Coastal Financial. Projected growth potential of Coastal fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Coastal Financial assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Understanding Coastal Financial Corp requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Coastal's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Coastal Financial's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Coastal Financial's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Coastal Financial's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Coastal Financial should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Coastal Financial's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.