Integra Resources Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| ITRG Stock | USD 4.14 0.37 8.20% |
Integra Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Integra Resources' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 29th of January 2026, The value of RSI of Integra Resources' share price is at 53. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Integra Resources, making its price go up or down. Momentum 53
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Integra Resources hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Integra Resources Corp from the perspective of Integra Resources response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Integra Resources Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 4.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.51. Integra Resources after-hype prediction price | USD 4.14 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Integra Resources to cross-verify your projections. Integra Resources Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Integra price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Integra using various technical indicators. When you analyze Integra charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Integra Resources Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Integra Resources Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 4.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.51.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Integra Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Integra Resources' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Integra Resources Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Integra Resources | Integra Resources Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Integra Resources Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Integra Resources' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Integra Resources' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.04 and 8.46, respectively. We have considered Integra Resources' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Integra Resources stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Integra Resources stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.6216 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0218 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1252 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0336 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 7.51 |
Predictive Modules for Integra Resources
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Integra Resources Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Integra Resources After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Integra Resources at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Integra Resources or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Integra Resources, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Integra Resources Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Integra Resources' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Integra Resources' historical news coverage. Integra Resources' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.21 and 8.46, respectively. We have considered Integra Resources' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Integra Resources is unstable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Integra Resources Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Integra Resources Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Integra Resources is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Integra Resources backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Integra Resources, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.72 | 4.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
4.14 | 4.14 | 0.00 |
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Integra Resources Hype Timeline
Integra Resources Corp is currently traded for 4.14. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Integra is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.72%. %. The volatility of related hype on Integra Resources is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.14. About 34.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company last dividend was issued on the 9th of July 2020. Integra Resources Corp had 2:5 split on the 26th of May 2023. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Integra Resources to cross-verify your projections.Integra Resources Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Integra Resources' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Integra Resources' future price movements. Getting to know how Integra Resources' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Integra Resources may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| IDR | Idaho Strategic Resources | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.63 | 0.08 | 9.24 | (8.14) | 22.68 | |
| NFGC | New Found Gold | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.82 | 0.15 | 6.76 | (6.92) | 28.90 | |
| ASIX | AdvanSix | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 4.89 | (4.88) | 16.84 | |
| NEWP | New Pacific Metals | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.13 | 0.22 | 11.08 | (6.34) | 24.59 | |
| RYAM | Rayonier Advanced Materials | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.95 | 0.06 | 6.38 | (5.15) | 28.05 | |
| DC | Dakota Gold Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.34 | 0.20 | 5.90 | (4.86) | 26.64 | |
| ASTL | Algoma Steel Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.56 | 0.04 | 7.14 | (5.51) | 18.39 | |
| NB | NioCorp Developments Ltd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 9.52 | (11.51) | 26.34 | |
| ODV | Osisko Development Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.92 | 0.11 | 6.65 | (4.53) | 15.32 | |
| HDSN | Hudson Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.86 | (4.19) | 24.01 |
Other Forecasting Options for Integra Resources
For every potential investor in Integra, whether a beginner or expert, Integra Resources' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Integra Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Integra. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Integra Resources' price trends.Integra Resources Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Integra Resources stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Integra Resources could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Integra Resources by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Integra Resources Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Integra Resources stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Integra Resources shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Integra Resources stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Integra Resources Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 367194.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.73) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.92 | |||
| Day Median Price | 4.34 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 4.27 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.38) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.37) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 53.37 |
Integra Resources Risk Indicators
The analysis of Integra Resources' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Integra Resources' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting integra stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.34 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.5 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.32 | |||
| Variance | 18.66 | |||
| Downside Variance | 16.06 | |||
| Semi Variance | 12.23 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.87) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Integra Resources
The number of cover stories for Integra Resources depends on current market conditions and Integra Resources' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Integra Resources is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Integra Resources' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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Integra Resources Short Properties
Integra Resources' future price predictability will typically decrease when Integra Resources' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Integra Resources Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Integra Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Integra Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 96.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 52.6 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Integra Resources to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the AI Portfolio Prophet module to use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities.
Can Stock industry sustain growth momentum? Does Integra have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Integra Resources. Market participants price Integra higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Integra Resources demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Understanding Integra Resources Corp requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Integra's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Integra Resources' is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Integra Resources' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Integra Resources' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Integra Resources is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Integra Resources' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.