Intercont Limited Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

Intercont Limited Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Intercont price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Intercont using various technical indicators. When you analyze Intercont charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. A naive forecasting model for Intercont Limited is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Intercont Limited Ordinary value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Intercont Limited Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Intercont Limited Ordinary on the next trading day is expected to be 0.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.52.

Intercont Limited Stock Forecast Pattern

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Intercont Limited Price Prediction

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Intercont Limited Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Intercont Limited stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Intercont Limited stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Intercont Limited Ordinary. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Intercont Limited. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Intercont Limited

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Intercont Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 0.02 0.30 8.85 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 0.01 0.22 8.77 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 0.20 0.22 0.24 Details

Intercont Limited After-Hype Price Density Analysis

Intercont Limited Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Intercont Limited Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Notes

Intercont Limited Hype Timeline

On the 26th of January Intercont Limited is traded for 0.23. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.29, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.14. Intercont is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.3 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 32.47%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -2.05%. The volatility of related hype on Intercont Limited is about 12848.48%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.37. Intercont Limited Ordinary has 26.31 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 5.24, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. Intercont Limited has a current ratio of 0.7, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Intercont to invest in growth at high rates of return. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 34 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Intercont Limited to cross-verify your projections.

Intercont Limited Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for Intercont Limited

For every potential investor in Intercont, whether a beginner or expert, Intercont Limited's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Intercont Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Intercont. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Intercont Limited's price trends.

Intercont Limited Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Intercont Limited Market Strength Events

Intercont Limited Risk Indicators

Story Coverage note for Intercont Limited

Intercont Limited Short Properties

Additional Tools for Intercont Stock Analysis