SMX Public Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

SMX Stock   17.00  1.01  5.61%   
SMX Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of SMX Public's share price is approaching 44. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling SMX Public, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 44

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of SMX Public's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with SMX Public Limited, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using SMX Public hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SMX Public Limited from the perspective of SMX Public response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of SMX Public Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 71.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 54.39 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3,318.

SMX Public after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 17.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SMX Public to cross-verify your projections.

SMX Public Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine SMX price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SMX using various technical indicators. When you analyze SMX charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through SMX Public price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

SMX Public Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 28th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of SMX Public Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 71.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 54.39, mean absolute percentage error of 4,562, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3,318.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SMX Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that SMX Public's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

SMX Public Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest SMX Public  SMX Public Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

SMX Public Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting SMX Public's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. SMX Public's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 18.45 and 124.81, respectively. We have considered SMX Public's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
17.00
71.63
Expected Value
124.81
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of SMX Public stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent SMX Public stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria126.5361
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation54.3939
MAPEMean absolute percentage error2.3996
SAESum of the absolute errors3318.0251
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as SMX Public Limited historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for SMX Public

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SMX Public Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.8517.001,717
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.7915.811,716
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
-52.2152.57157.35
Details

SMX Public After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of SMX Public at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in SMX Public or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of SMX Public, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

SMX Public Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting SMX Public's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on SMX Public's historical news coverage. SMX Public's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.85 and 1,717, respectively. We have considered SMX Public's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
17.00
17.00
After-hype Price
1,717
Upside
SMX Public is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of SMX Public Limited is based on 3 months time horizon.

SMX Public Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as SMX Public is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SMX Public backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SMX Public, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  7.86 
53.18
  3.85 
  5.92 
10 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
17.00
17.00
0.00 
10,853  
Notes

SMX Public Hype Timeline

On the 27th of January SMX Public Limited is traded for 17.00. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 3.85, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 5.92. SMX is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 7.86%. %. The volatility of related hype on SMX Public is about 7062.42%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 22.92. The company recorded a loss per share of 10118.8. SMX Public Limited had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 91:1000 split on the 23rd of October 2025. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SMX Public to cross-verify your projections.

SMX Public Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to SMX Public's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SMX Public's future price movements. Getting to know how SMX Public's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SMX Public may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ZCARZoomcar Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.14) 16.67 (20.00) 61.00 
EPWKEPWK Holdings(0.05)7 per month 0.00 (0.28) 25.36 (38.08) 100.49 
LGMKLogicMark(0.17)15 per month 0.00 (0.09) 17.14 (19.10) 57.77 
CISSC3is Inc(0.40)10 per month 0.00 (0.24) 6.98 (23.39) 86.97 
RAINRain Enhancement Technologies(0.17)8 per month 0.00 (0.1) 11.31 (14.38) 48.65 
BLMZBloomZ Ordinary Shares(0.22)24 per month 0.00 (0.13) 27.27 (38.33) 192.47 
LICNLichen China Limited(0.09)9 per month 0.00 (0.05) 5.61 (5.44) 57.58 
SGBXSG Blocks 8.50 1 per month 10.56 (0) 29.82 (17.96) 115.07 
VCIGVCI Global Limited 0.01 10 per month 0.00 (0.1) 30.00 (18.60) 98.40 
DGLYDigital Ally 0.12 8 per month 0.00 (0.17) 8.26 (10.54) 44.96 

Other Forecasting Options for SMX Public

For every potential investor in SMX, whether a beginner or expert, SMX Public's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. SMX Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in SMX. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying SMX Public's price trends.

SMX Public Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with SMX Public stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of SMX Public could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SMX Public by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

SMX Public Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how SMX Public stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading SMX Public shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying SMX Public stock market strength indicators, traders can identify SMX Public Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

SMX Public Risk Indicators

The analysis of SMX Public's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in SMX Public's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting smx stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for SMX Public

The number of cover stories for SMX Public depends on current market conditions and SMX Public's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that SMX Public is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about SMX Public's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

SMX Public Short Properties

SMX Public's future price predictability will typically decrease when SMX Public's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of SMX Public Limited often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential SMX Public's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SMX Public's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding400.63
Cash And Short Term Investments2.3 M

Additional Tools for SMX Stock Analysis

When running SMX Public's price analysis, check to measure SMX Public's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SMX Public is operating at the current time. Most of SMX Public's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SMX Public's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SMX Public's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SMX Public to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.