VCI Global Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| VCIG Stock | 0.57 0.01 1.72% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of VCI Global Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.17. VCI Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of VCI Global's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 24th of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of VCI Global's share price is below 20 . This entails that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.84) | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.219 |
Using VCI Global hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of VCI Global Limited from the perspective of VCI Global response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
VCI Global Limited Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to VCI Global's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in VCI. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding VCI can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around VCI Global Limited. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of VCI Global Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.17.
VCI Global after-hype prediction price | USD 0.36 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of VCI Global to cross-verify your projections. VCI Global Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine VCI price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for VCI using various technical indicators. When you analyze VCI charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
VCI Global Cash Forecast
Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the VCI Global's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
Cash | First Reported 2010-12-31 | Previous Quarter 41.6 M | Current Value 43.7 M | Quarterly Volatility 15.6 M |
VCI Global Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of VCI Global Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.17.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict VCI Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that VCI Global's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
VCI Global Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest VCI Global | VCI Global Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
VCI Global Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting VCI Global's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. VCI Global's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 16.16, respectively. We have considered VCI Global's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of VCI Global stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent VCI Global stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.9877 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0996 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0985 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 6.1722 |
Predictive Modules for VCI Global
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VCI Global Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.VCI Global After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of VCI Global at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in VCI Global or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of VCI Global, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
VCI Global Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting VCI Global's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on VCI Global's historical news coverage. VCI Global's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.02 and 16.25, respectively. We have considered VCI Global's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
VCI Global is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of VCI Global Limited is based on 3 months time horizon.
VCI Global Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as VCI Global is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading VCI Global backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with VCI Global, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.14 | 15.89 | 0.21 | 0.01 | 6 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.57 | 0.36 | 36.84 |
|
VCI Global Hype Timeline
VCI Global Limited is at this time traded for 0.57. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.21, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. VCI is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.36. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -36.84%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -1.14%. The volatility of related hype on VCI Global is about 204300.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.58. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 0.02. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. VCI Global Limited recorded earning per share (EPS) of 514.42. The entity last dividend was issued on the 30th of June 2023. The firm had 1:30 split on the 16th of September 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of VCI Global to cross-verify your projections.VCI Global Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to VCI Global's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict VCI Global's future price movements. Getting to know how VCI Global's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how VCI Global may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ZCAR | Zoomcar Holdings | 0.03 | 15 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 16.67 | (20.00) | 61.00 | |
| EPWK | EPWK Holdings Ltd | (0.05) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.28) | 25.36 | (38.08) | 100.49 | |
| RAIN | Rain Enhancement Technologies | 0.01 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 12.96 | (14.38) | 48.65 | |
| CISS | C3is Inc | 0.03 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.28) | 6.12 | (21.05) | 86.92 | |
| CAPT | Captivision Ordinary Shares | 0.05 | 4 per month | 9.29 | 0.02 | 22.86 | (17.11) | 57.58 | |
| SMX | SMX Public Limited | 0.03 | 26 per month | 22.06 | 0.11 | 135.45 | (37.14) | 319.03 | |
| SGBX | SG Blocks | (0.06) | 10 per month | 10.56 | (0) | 29.82 | (17.96) | 115.07 | |
| FPAY | FlexShopper | 0.01 | 14 per month | 30.47 | 0.05 | 53.33 | (74.74) | 791.43 | |
| BLMZ | BloomZ Ordinary Shares | 0.02 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 27.27 | (38.33) | 192.47 |
Other Forecasting Options for VCI Global
For every potential investor in VCI, whether a beginner or expert, VCI Global's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. VCI Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in VCI. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying VCI Global's price trends.VCI Global Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with VCI Global stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of VCI Global could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing VCI Global by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
VCI Global Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how VCI Global stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading VCI Global shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying VCI Global stock market strength indicators, traders can identify VCI Global Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 139252.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.17) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.57 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.57 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.01) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.01) |
VCI Global Risk Indicators
The analysis of VCI Global's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in VCI Global's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting vci stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 10.02 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 15.45 | |||
| Variance | 238.76 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for VCI Global
The number of cover stories for VCI Global depends on current market conditions and VCI Global's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that VCI Global is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about VCI Global's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
VCI Global Short Properties
VCI Global's future price predictability will typically decrease when VCI Global's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of VCI Global Limited often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential VCI Global's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. VCI Global's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 143.8 K | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 36.2 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of VCI Global to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.
Is Environmental & Facilities Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of VCI Global. If investors know VCI will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about VCI Global listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.84) | Earnings Share 514.42 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.219 | Return On Assets |
The market value of VCI Global Limited is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of VCI that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of VCI Global's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is VCI Global's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because VCI Global's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect VCI Global's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between VCI Global's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if VCI Global is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, VCI Global's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.