Forestar Group Stock Performance

FOR Stock  USD 26.02  0.16  0.62%   
Forestar has a performance score of 1 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.71, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Forestar will likely underperform. Forestar Group right now shows a risk of 2.4%. Please confirm Forestar Group skewness, and the relationship between the value at risk and day median price , to decide if Forestar Group will be following its price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Forestar Group are ranked lower than 1 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively invariable basic indicators, Forestar is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price agitation, may contribute to short-term losses for the retail investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
0.62
Five Day Return
3.13
Year To Date Return
6.99
Ten Year Return
189.11
All Time Return
8.42
1
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Begin Period Cash Flow481.2 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities3.2 M

Forestar Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,563  in Forestar Group on November 2, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  39.00  from holding Forestar Group or generate 1.52% return on investment over 90 days. Forestar Group is generating 0.0528% of daily returns assuming volatility of 2.3957% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 21% of stocks are less volatile than Forestar, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Forestar is expected to generate 1.06 times less return on investment than the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.21 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.02 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

Forestar Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Forestar Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 26.02 90 days 26.02 
about 32.67
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Forestar to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 32.67 (This Forestar Group probability density function shows the probability of Forestar Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.71 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Forestar will likely underperform. Additionally Forestar Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Forestar Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Forestar

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Forestar Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23.6526.0528.45
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.4229.3831.78
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
21.8224.2126.61
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
30.0333.0036.63
Details

Forestar Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Forestar is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Forestar's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Forestar Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Forestar within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.71
σ
Overall volatility
1.18
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Forestar Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Forestar for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Forestar Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Forestar Group has 817.1 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.62, which is OK given its current industry classification. Forestar Group has a current ratio of 0.91, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Forestar to invest in growth at high rates of return.
Forestar Group has about 379.2 M in cash with (197.7 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.94.
Forestar Group has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 62.0% of Forestar shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Forestar Group Is Attractively Priced Despite Fast-paced Momentum

Forestar Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Forestar Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Forestar's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Forestar's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding50.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments379.2 M

Forestar Fundamentals Growth

Forestar Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Forestar, and Forestar fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Forestar Stock performance.

About Forestar Performance

Assessing Forestar's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Forestar's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Forestar is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 9.45  8.97 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.07  0.07 
Return On Capital Employed 0.05  0.09 
Return On Assets 0.07  0.07 
Return On Equity 0.08  0.09 

Things to note about Forestar Group performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Forestar for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Forestar Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Forestar Group has 817.1 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.62, which is OK given its current industry classification. Forestar Group has a current ratio of 0.91, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Forestar to invest in growth at high rates of return.
Forestar Group has about 379.2 M in cash with (197.7 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.94.
Forestar Group has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 62.0% of Forestar shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Forestar Group Is Attractively Priced Despite Fast-paced Momentum
Evaluating Forestar's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Forestar's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Forestar's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Forestar's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Forestar's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Forestar's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Forestar's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Forestar's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Forestar's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Forestar's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Forestar's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Forestar Stock Analysis

When running Forestar's price analysis, check to measure Forestar's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Forestar is operating at the current time. Most of Forestar's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Forestar's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Forestar's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Forestar to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.