Forestar Group Net Income
| FOR Stock | USD 25.86 0.68 2.70% |
As of the 29th of January, Forestar shows the Coefficient Of Variation of 12820.55, mean deviation of 1.79, and Downside Deviation of 2.15. Forestar Group technical analysis allows you to utilize historical prices and volume patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Forestar Group variance, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the Value At Risk and skewness to decide if Forestar Group is priced favorably, providing market reflects its regular price of 25.86 per share. Given that Forestar has jensen alpha of (0.08), we urge you to verify Forestar Group's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.
Forestar's financial statements offer valuable quarterly and annual insights to potential investors, highlighting the company's current and historical financial position, overall management performance, and changes in financial standing over time. Key fundamentals influencing Forestar's valuation are provided below:Forestar Group does not presently have any fundamental signals for analysis. This module does not cover all equities due to inconsistencies in global equity categorizations. Continue to Equity Screeners to view more equity screening tools. Can Stock industry sustain growth momentum? Does Forestar have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Forestar. Market participants price Forestar higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Forestar demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Investors evaluate Forestar Group using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Forestar's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Forestar's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Forestar's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Forestar is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Forestar's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.
Forestar 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Forestar's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Forestar.
| 10/31/2025 |
| 01/29/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Forestar on October 31, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Forestar Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in Forestar over 90 days. Forestar is related to or competes with KKR Real, Ellington Financial, Apollo Commercial, Smith Douglas, Innovative Industrial, Veris Residential, and Ladder Capital. Forestar Group Inc. operates as a residential lot development company in the United States More
Forestar Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Forestar's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Forestar Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.15 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.02) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 12.07 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.92) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.11 |
Forestar Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Forestar's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Forestar's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Forestar historical prices to predict the future Forestar's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0126 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.08) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.16) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.02) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0053 |
Forestar January 29, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0126 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0153 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.79 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.11 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.15 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 12820.55 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.4 | |||
| Variance | 5.77 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.02) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.08) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.16) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.02) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0053 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 12.07 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.92) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.11 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.62 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.46 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.05) | |||
| Skewness | 0.4311 | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.08 |
Forestar Group Backtested Returns
Currently, Forestar Group is very steady. Forestar Group secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of close to zero, which denotes the company had a close to zero % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Forestar Group, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Forestar's Mean Deviation of 1.79, coefficient of variation of 12820.55, and Downside Deviation of 2.15 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0187%. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.65, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Forestar will likely underperform. Forestar Group right now shows a risk of 2.4%. Please confirm Forestar Group value at risk, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day median price , to decide if Forestar Group will be following its price patterns.
Auto-correlation | 0.55 |
Modest predictability
Forestar Group has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Forestar time series from 31st of October 2025 to 15th of December 2025 and 15th of December 2025 to 29th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Forestar Group price movement. The serial correlation of 0.55 indicates that about 55.0% of current Forestar price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.55 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.28 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 1.33 |
Because income is reported on the Income Statement of a company and is measured in dollars some investors prefer to use Profit Margin, which measures income as a percentage of sales.
| Competition |
Based on the recorded statements, Forestar Group reported net income of 167.9 M. This is 32.59% lower than that of the Real Estate Management & Development sector and significantly higher than that of the Real Estate industry. The net income for all United States stocks is 70.59% higher than that of the company.
Forestar Net Income Peer Comparison
Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Forestar's direct or indirect competition against its Net Income to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Forestar could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Forestar by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.Forestar is currently under evaluation in net income category among its peers.
Forestar Fundamentals
| Return On Equity | 0.0981 | |||
| Return On Asset | 0.0425 | |||
| Profit Margin | 0.1 % | |||
| Operating Margin | 0.07 % | |||
| Current Valuation | 1.87 B | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 50.89 M | |||
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 62.35 % | |||
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 36.79 % | |||
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 480.98 K | |||
| Price To Earning | 8.42 X | |||
| Price To Book | 0.71 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 0.76 X | |||
| Revenue | 1.66 B | |||
| Gross Profit | 363.5 M | |||
| EBITDA | 222.8 M | |||
| Net Income | 167.9 M | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 379.2 M | |||
| Cash Per Share | 2.94 X | |||
| Total Debt | 817.1 M | |||
| Debt To Equity | 0.62 % | |||
| Current Ratio | 0.93 X | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 35.10 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (197.7 M) | |||
| Short Ratio | 3.24 X | |||
| Earnings Per Share | 3.27 X | |||
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 3.50 X | |||
| Target Price | 33.0 | |||
| Number Of Employees | 415 | |||
| Beta | 1.42 | |||
| Market Capitalization | 1.28 B | |||
| Total Asset | 3.14 B | |||
| Retained Earnings | 1.05 B | |||
| Working Capital | (24.4 M) | |||
| Current Asset | 111.47 M | |||
| Current Liabilities | 59.26 M | |||
| Net Asset | 3.14 B |
About Forestar Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Forestar Group's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Forestar using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Forestar Group based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Pair Trading with Forestar
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Forestar position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Forestar will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Forestar Stock
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Forestar could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Forestar when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Forestar - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Forestar Group to buy it.
The correlation of Forestar is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Forestar moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Forestar Group moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Forestar can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for Forestar Stock Analysis
When running Forestar's price analysis, check to measure Forestar's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Forestar is operating at the current time. Most of Forestar's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Forestar's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Forestar's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Forestar to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.