Union Insurance (Taiwan) Price Prediction
| 2816 Stock | TWD 32.15 0.50 1.58% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
39
Oversold | Overbought |
Union Insurance stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Union Insurance shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Union Insurance's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Union Insurance and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Union Insurance's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Union Insurance Co, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Union Insurance based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Union stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Union Insurance over a specific investment horizon. Using Union Insurance hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Union Insurance Co from the perspective of Union Insurance response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Union Insurance. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Union Insurance to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Union because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Union Insurance after-hype prediction price | TWD 32.15 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Union |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Union Insurance's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Union Insurance After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Union Insurance at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Union Insurance or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Union Insurance, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Union Insurance Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Union Insurance's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Union Insurance's historical news coverage. Union Insurance's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 29.40 and 34.90, respectively. We have considered Union Insurance's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Union Insurance is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Union Insurance is based on 3 months time horizon.
Union Insurance Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Union Insurance is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Union Insurance backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Union Insurance, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 2.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
32.15 | 32.15 | 0.00 |
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Union Insurance Hype Timeline
Union Insurance is presently traded for 32.15on Taiwan Stock Exchange of Taiwan. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Union is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on Union Insurance is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 32.15. About 73.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 0.66. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Union Insurance had 1050:1000 split on the 10th of September 2020. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Union Insurance Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Union Insurance Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Union Insurance's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Union Insurance's future price movements. Getting to know how Union Insurance's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Union Insurance may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 2850 | Shinkong Insurance Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.19 | 0.29 | 4.23 | (1.25) | 12.78 | |
| 2851 | Central Reinsurance Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.69 | 0.16 | 2.60 | (1.81) | 8.29 | |
| 2832 | Taiwan Fire Marine | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.19 | 0.11 | 2.40 | (1.14) | 9.75 | |
| 2812 | Taichung Commercial Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.80 | 0.1 | 2.01 | (1.72) | 6.76 | |
| 2809 | Kings Town Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.05 | 0.26 | 3.52 | (1.78) | 12.70 |
Union Insurance Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Union price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Union using various technical indicators. When you analyze Union charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Union Insurance Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Union Insurance stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Union Insurance Co, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Union Insurance based on analysis of Union Insurance hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Union Insurance's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Union Insurance's related companies. Story Coverage note for Union Insurance
The number of cover stories for Union Insurance depends on current market conditions and Union Insurance's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Union Insurance is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Union Insurance's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Union Insurance Short Properties
Union Insurance's future price predictability will typically decrease when Union Insurance's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Union Insurance Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Union Insurance's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Union Insurance's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 223.6 M |
Check out Union Insurance Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.
Complementary Tools for Union Stock analysis
When running Union Insurance's price analysis, check to measure Union Insurance's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Union Insurance is operating at the current time. Most of Union Insurance's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Union Insurance's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Union Insurance's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Union Insurance to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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