Direxion Daily Amd Etf Price Prediction
AMDD Etf | 25.77 0.25 0.98% |
Momentum 44
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Direxion Daily hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Direxion Daily AMD from the perspective of Direxion Daily response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Direxion Daily to buy its etf at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Direxion because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell etfs at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Direxion Daily after-hype prediction price | USD 25.81 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Direxion Daily's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Direxion Daily Estimiated After-Hype Price Prediction Volatility
As far as predicting the price of Direxion Daily at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Direxion Daily or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Direxion Daily, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
Expected price to next headline |
Direxion Daily Etf Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Direxion Daily is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Direxion Daily backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Direxion Daily, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.19 | 4.75 | 0.04 | 1.31 | 4 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
25.77 | 25.81 | 0.16 |
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Direxion Daily Hype Timeline
Direxion Daily AMD is presently traded for 25.77. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 1.31. Direxion is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 25.81 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.16%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.19%. The volatility of related hype on Direxion Daily is about 68.73%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 27.08. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Direxion Daily Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Direxion Daily Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Direxion Daily's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Direxion Daily's future price movements. Getting to know how Direxion Daily's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Direxion Daily may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
VTI | Vanguard Total Stock | (2.56) | 10 per month | 0.00 | 0.01 | 2.11 | (2.73) | 14.26 | |
SPY | SPDR SP 500 | 7.11 | 9 per month | 0.00 | 0.02 | 2.06 | (2.66) | 14.88 | |
IVV | iShares Core SP | 50.60 | 9 per month | 0.00 | 0.02 | 2.08 | (2.61) | 13.03 | |
BND | Vanguard Total Bond | (0.32) | 8 per month | 0.32 | 0.48 | 0.57 | (0.55) | 1.83 | |
VTV | Vanguard Value Index | 2.59 | 9 per month | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1.40 | (2.01) | 9.25 | |
VUG | Vanguard Growth Index | (6.05) | 8 per month | 0.00 | 0.01 | 2.51 | (3.95) | 15.57 | |
VO | Vanguard Mid Cap Index | 20.29 | 8 per month | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1.89 | (2.30) | 10.82 | |
VEA | Vanguard FTSE Developed | 0.98 | 9 per month | 1.50 | 0.15 | 1.96 | (2.09) | 9.45 | |
VB | Vanguard Small Cap Index | (3.27) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 2.51 | (2.64) | 13.70 | |
VWO | Vanguard FTSE Emerging | (0.26) | 8 per month | 1.57 | 0.12 | 1.79 | (1.80) | 8.58 |
Direxion Daily Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Direxion price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Direxion using various technical indicators. When you analyze Direxion charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
About Direxion Daily Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Direxion Daily stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Direxion Daily AMD, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Direxion Daily based on analysis of Direxion Daily hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Direxion Daily's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Direxion Daily's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Direxion Daily
The number of cover stories for Direxion Daily depends on current market conditions and Direxion Daily's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Direxion Daily is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Direxion Daily's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Direxion Etf
Direxion Daily financial ratios help investors to determine whether Direxion Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Direxion with respect to the benefits of owning Direxion Daily security.