Encompass Health Corp Stock Price Prediction
| EHC Stock | USD 83.49 1.02 1.24% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
53
Oversold | Overbought |
Encompass Health Corp stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Encompass Health shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Encompass Health's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Encompass Health and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Encompass Health's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Encompass Health Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Encompass Health's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.261 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.02 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.05 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.52 | Wall Street Target Price 93.3 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Encompass Health based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Encompass stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Encompass Health over a specific investment horizon. Using Encompass Health hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Encompass Health Corp from the perspective of Encompass Health response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Encompass Health using Encompass Health's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Encompass using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Encompass Health's stock price.
Encompass Health Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Encompass Health's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Encompass. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Encompass Health stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Encompass Health may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Encompass Health and may potentially protect profits, hedge Encompass Health with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 70.2209 | Short Percent 0.0249 | Short Ratio 2.87 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.3 M | 50 Day MA 78.076 |
Encompass Health Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Encompass Health's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Encompass. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Encompass can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Encompass Health Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Encompass Health's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Encompass Health.
Encompass Health Implied Volatility | 19.64 |
Encompass Health's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Encompass Health Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Encompass Health's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Encompass Health stock will not fluctuate a lot when Encompass Health's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Encompass Health. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Encompass Health to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Encompass because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Encompass Health after-hype prediction price | USD 82.22 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Encompass contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Encompass Health Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 1.23% per day over the life of the 2024-05-17 option contract. With Encompass Health trading at USD 83.49, that is roughly USD 1.02 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Encompass Health's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Encompass Health Corp options at the current volatility level of 19.64%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Encompass |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Encompass Health's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Encompass Health After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Encompass Health at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Encompass Health or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Encompass Health, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Encompass Health Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Encompass Health's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Encompass Health's historical news coverage. Encompass Health's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 80.87 and 83.57, respectively. We have considered Encompass Health's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Encompass Health is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Encompass Health Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Encompass Health Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Encompass Health is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Encompass Health backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Encompass Health, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.25 | 1.35 | 0.27 | 0.00 | 9 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
83.49 | 82.22 | 0.30 |
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Encompass Health Hype Timeline
On the 29th of April Encompass Health Corp is traded for 83.49. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.27, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Encompass is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 82.22. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 125.0%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.3%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.25%. The volatility of related hype on Encompass Health is about 22500.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 83.49. About 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Encompass Health was currently reported as 17.45. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.37. Encompass Health Corp last dividend was issued on the 28th of March 2024. The entity had 1257:1000 split on the 1st of July 2022. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Encompass Health Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Encompass Health Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Encompass Health's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Encompass Health's future price movements. Getting to know how Encompass Health's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Encompass Health may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PNTG | Pennant Group | 0.32 | 10 per month | 1.52 | 0.16 | 3.45 | (3.21) | 13.80 | |
| ENSG | The Ensign Group | (0.09) | 10 per month | 1.12 | (0.04) | 2.38 | (2.33) | 7.13 | |
| INNV | InnovAge Holding Corp | 0.33 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 6.98 | (8.20) | 21.11 | |
| MODV | ModivCare | 1.17 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 9.43 | (6.31) | 47.14 | |
| ACHC | Acadia Healthcare | (1.01) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.11 | (2.61) | 6.80 | |
| SEM | Select Medical Holdings | 0.43 | 11 per month | 1.42 | 0.01 | 2.81 | (2.42) | 12.75 | |
| ADUS | Addus HomeCare | (1.05) | 9 per month | 1.79 | 0 | 3.66 | (3.41) | 10.10 | |
| EHAB | Enhabit | 0.28 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 5.36 | (4.79) | 27.98 | |
| CCM | Concord Medical Services | 0.03 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 16.00 | (12.33) | 61.06 | |
| NHC | National HealthCare | (0.35) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.45 | (2.67) | 7.84 |
Encompass Health Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Encompass price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Encompass using various technical indicators. When you analyze Encompass charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Encompass Health Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Encompass Health stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Encompass Health Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Encompass Health based on analysis of Encompass Health hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Encompass Health's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Encompass Health's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0218 | 0.0167 | 0.009098 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.0 | 1.36 | 1.38 |
Story Coverage note for Encompass Health
The number of cover stories for Encompass Health depends on current market conditions and Encompass Health's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Encompass Health is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Encompass Health's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Encompass Health Short Properties
Encompass Health's future price predictability will typically decrease when Encompass Health's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Encompass Health Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Encompass Health's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Encompass Health's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 101.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 141.8 M |
Check out Encompass Health Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Encompass Health Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Encompass Health's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
Complementary Tools for Encompass Stock analysis
When running Encompass Health's price analysis, check to measure Encompass Health's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Encompass Health is operating at the current time. Most of Encompass Health's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Encompass Health's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Encompass Health's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Encompass Health to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Encompass Health's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Encompass Health. If investors know Encompass will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Encompass Health listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.261 | Dividend Share 0.6 | Earnings Share 3.82 | Revenue Per Share 49.767 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.134 |
The market value of Encompass Health Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Encompass that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Encompass Health's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Encompass Health's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Encompass Health's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Encompass Health's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Encompass Health's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Encompass Health is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Encompass Health's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.