Forum Energy Technologies Stock Price Prediction
| FET Stock | USD 32.22 0.10 0.31% |
Momentum 59
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.58) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.58 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.505 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.33 | Wall Street Target Price 31 |
Using Forum Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Forum Energy Technologies from the perspective of Forum Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Forum Energy using Forum Energy's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Forum using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Forum Energy's stock price.
Forum Energy Short Interest
An investor who is long Forum Energy may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Forum Energy and may potentially protect profits, hedge Forum Energy with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 20.2235 | Short Percent 0.0237 | Short Ratio 2.37 | Shares Short Prior Month 169.8 K | 50 Day MA 26.822 |
Forum Energy Technologies Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Forum Energy's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Forum. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Forum can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Forum Energy Technologies. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Forum Energy's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Forum Energy.
Forum Energy Implied Volatility | 1.06 |
Forum Energy's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Forum Energy Technologies stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Forum Energy's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Forum Energy stock will not fluctuate a lot when Forum Energy's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Forum Energy to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Forum because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Forum Energy after-hype prediction price | USD 31.85 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Forum contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Forum Energy Technologies will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0663% per day over the life of the 2026-01-16 option contract. With Forum Energy trading at USD 32.22, that is roughly USD 0.0213 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Forum Energy's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Forum Energy Technologies options at the current volatility level of 1.06%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Forum Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Forum Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Forum Energy After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Forum Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Forum Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Forum Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Forum Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Forum Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Forum Energy's historical news coverage. Forum Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 28.15 and 35.55, respectively. We have considered Forum Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Forum Energy is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Forum Energy Technologies is based on 3 months time horizon.
Forum Energy Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Forum Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Forum Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Forum Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.94 | 3.70 | 0.37 | 0.13 | 10 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
32.22 | 31.85 | 1.15 |
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Forum Energy Hype Timeline
On the 30th of October Forum Energy Technologies is traded for 32.22. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.37, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.13. Forum is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 31.85. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -1.15%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.94%. The volatility of related hype on Forum Energy is about 2587.41%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 32.35. About 63.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.9. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Forum Energy Technologies recorded a loss per share of 8.91. The entity last dividend was issued on the 10th of November 2020. The firm had 1:20 split on the 10th of November 2020. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Forum Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Forum Energy Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Forum Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Forum Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Forum Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Forum Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GEOS | Geospace Technologies | 0.74 | 9 per month | 4.97 | 0.14 | 10.24 | (7.21) | 27.37 | |
| NGS | Natural Gas Services | 0.37 | 12 per month | 2.27 | 0.05 | 3.38 | (4.77) | 9.09 | |
| WTI | WT Offshore | (0.05) | 12 per month | 3.64 | 0.04 | 5.95 | (4.89) | 32.45 | |
| OIS | Oil States International | 0.02 | 8 per month | 2.96 | 0.06 | 5.56 | (4.17) | 15.26 | |
| RNGR | Ranger Energy Services | 0.1 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.25 | (4.52) | 9.77 | |
| GFR | Greenfire Resources | (0.03) | 9 per month | 1.96 | (0.02) | 4.59 | (3.05) | 11.47 | |
| GPRK | GeoPark | (0.14) | 7 per month | 2.89 | (0.02) | 5.47 | (4.63) | 16.25 | |
| JKS | JinkoSolar Holding | (0.25) | 12 per month | 2.95 | 0.02 | 6.31 | (4.93) | 16.88 | |
| NC | NACCO Industries | 0.77 | 11 per month | 2.42 | 0.01 | 5.41 | (4.33) | 11.23 | |
| OBE | Obsidian Energy | (0.1) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.20 | (3.59) | 13.74 |
Forum Energy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Forum price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Forum using various technical indicators. When you analyze Forum charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Forum Energy Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Forum Energy stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Forum Energy Technologies, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Forum Energy based on analysis of Forum Energy hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Forum Energy's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Forum Energy's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 88.68 | 79.99 | 74.35 | 56.63 | PTB Ratio | 1.0 | 0.55 | 0.6 | 0.57 |
Story Coverage note for Forum Energy
The number of cover stories for Forum Energy depends on current market conditions and Forum Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Forum Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Forum Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Forum Energy Short Properties
Forum Energy's future price predictability will typically decrease when Forum Energy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Forum Energy Technologies often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Forum Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Forum Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 12.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 44.7 M |
Additional Tools for Forum Stock Analysis
When running Forum Energy's price analysis, check to measure Forum Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Forum Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Forum Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Forum Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Forum Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Forum Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.