Lument Finance Trust Stock Price Prediction
| LFT Stock | USD 2.30 0.05 2.22% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
48
Oversold | Overbought |
Lument Finance Trust stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Lument Finance shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Lument Finance's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Lument Finance and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Lument Finance's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Lument Finance Trust, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Lument Finance's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.356 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.1 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.41 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.38 | Wall Street Target Price 2.63 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Lument Finance based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Lument stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Lument Finance over a specific investment horizon. Using Lument Finance hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lument Finance Trust from the perspective of Lument Finance response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Lument Finance. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Lument Finance to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Lument because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Lument Finance after-hype prediction price | USD 2.3 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Lument |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lument Finance's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Lument Finance After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Lument Finance at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lument Finance or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lument Finance, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Lument Finance Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Lument Finance's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lument Finance's historical news coverage. Lument Finance's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.29 and 4.31, respectively. We have considered Lument Finance's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Lument Finance is relatively risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lument Finance Trust is based on 3 months time horizon.
Lument Finance Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lument Finance is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lument Finance backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lument Finance, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 2.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7 Events / Month | 11 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
2.30 | 2.30 | 0.00 |
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Lument Finance Hype Timeline
On the 5th of May Lument Finance Trust is traded for 2.30. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Lument is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on Lument Finance is about 2597.96%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.30. About 14.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.68. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Lument Finance Trust last dividend was issued on the 27th of March 2024. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Lument Finance Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Lument Finance Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Lument Finance's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lument Finance's future price movements. Getting to know how Lument Finance's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lument Finance may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Lument Finance Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Lument price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lument using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lument charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Lument Finance Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Lument Finance stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Lument Finance Trust, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Lument Finance based on analysis of Lument Finance hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Lument Finance's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Lument Finance's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.13 | 0.18 | 0.15 | Price To Sales Ratio | 4.55 | 3.79 | 1.11 |
Story Coverage note for Lument Finance
The number of cover stories for Lument Finance depends on current market conditions and Lument Finance's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lument Finance is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lument Finance's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Lument Finance Short Properties
Lument Finance's future price predictability will typically decrease when Lument Finance's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Lument Finance Trust often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Lument Finance's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lument Finance's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 52.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 51.5 M |
Check out Lument Finance Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Lument Finance Trust information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Lument Finance's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the ETF Categories module to list of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments.
Complementary Tools for Lument Stock analysis
When running Lument Finance's price analysis, check to measure Lument Finance's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lument Finance is operating at the current time. Most of Lument Finance's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lument Finance's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lument Finance's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lument Finance to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Lument Finance's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lument Finance. If investors know Lument will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lument Finance listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.356 | Dividend Share 0.26 | Earnings Share 0.29 | Revenue Per Share 0.614 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.667 |
The market value of Lument Finance Trust is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lument that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lument Finance's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lument Finance's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lument Finance's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lument Finance's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lument Finance's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lument Finance is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lument Finance's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.