Algoma Steel Group Stock Analysis

ASTL Stock  USD 6.92  0.01  0.14%   
Algoma Steel Group is undervalued with Real Value of 10.08 and Target Price of 20.0. The main objective of Algoma Steel stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Algoma Steel Group is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Algoma Steel's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Algoma Steel stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Algoma Steel Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.

Algoma Stock Analysis Notes

About 13.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.68. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Algoma Steel Group recorded a loss per share of 1.06. The entity last dividend was issued on the 13th of May 2025. Algoma Steel Group Inc. produces and sells steel products primarily in North America. Algoma Steel Group Inc. was founded in 1901 and is headquartered in Sault Ste. Algoma Steel operates under Steel classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 2734 people. For more info on Algoma Steel Group please contact Michael Garcia at 705 945 2351 or go to https://algoma.com.

Algoma Steel Quarterly Total Revenue

517.1 Million

Algoma Steel Group Investment Alerts

Algoma Steel Group appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.45 B. Net Loss for the year was (222.67 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (262.17 M).
Algoma Steel Group currently holds about 1.14 B in cash with (51.87 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 10.79, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Algoma Steel Group has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 76.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 30th of May 2025 Algoma Steel paid $ 0.05 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from zacks.com: Earnings Preview Algoma Steel Group Inc. Q2 Earnings Expected to Decline

Algoma Steel Group Upcoming and Recent Events

6th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
19th of June 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
19th of June 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of March 2023
Last Financial Announcement
View

Algoma Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Algoma Steel's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2023-11-02
2023-09-300.310.24-0.0722 
2023-08-11
2023-06-300.720.63-0.0912 
2022-11-07
2022-09-300.460.36-0.121 
View All Earnings Estimates

Algoma Steel Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Algoma Steel's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Algoma Steel's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Algoma Steel's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Algoma Steel's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Algoma Steel Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Algoma Steel stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Iron Idea
Iron
Steel and Iron production
Steel Works Etc Idea
Steel Works Etc
USA Equities from Steel Works Etc industry as classified by Fama & French

Algoma Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Towle & Co2025-03-31
1.8 M
Intact Investment Management, Inc.2025-03-31
1.5 M
Solas Capital Management Llc2025-03-31
1.5 M
Aegis Financial Corporation2025-03-31
1.5 M
Tcw Group Inc2025-03-31
1.4 M
Woodline Partners Lp2025-03-31
1.2 M
Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership2025-03-31
1.1 M
Jb Capital Partners Lp2025-03-31
992.2 K
Bracebridge Capital, Llc2025-03-31
924.9 K
Donald Smith & Co Inc2025-03-31
8.1 M
Maple Rock Capital Partners, Inc.2025-03-31
7.1 M
Note, although Algoma Steel's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Algoma Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 727.19 M.

Algoma Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (0.12) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of (0.25) %, which suggests for every $100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating loss of $0.25.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.07)(0.07)
Return On Capital Employed(0.11)(0.10)
Return On Assets(0.07)(0.07)
Return On Equity(0.15)(0.14)

Management Efficiency

Algoma Steel Group has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.0352) % which means that it has lost $0.0352 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (0.104) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Algoma Steel's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Algoma Steel manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Return On Tangible Assets is expected to rise to -0.07 this year. Return On Capital Employed is expected to rise to -0.1 this year. At this time, Algoma Steel's Asset Turnover is quite stable compared to the past year.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 13.91  14.61 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 13.91  14.60 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA(10.39)(9.87)
Price Book Value Ratio 1.01  1.06 
Enterprise Value Multiple(10.39)(9.87)
Price Fair Value 1.01  1.06 
Enterprise Value1.9 B3.2 B
Understanding the operational decisions made by Algoma Steel management offers insights into its financial robustness. This evaluation is crucial for assessing the stock's investment potential.
Dividend Yield
0.0416
Operating Margin
(0.25)
Profit Margin
(0.12)
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0289
Beta
1.648

Technical Drivers

As of the 23rd of July, Algoma Steel shows the mean deviation of 2.56, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1838. Algoma Steel Group technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Algoma Steel Group variance, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and skewness to decide if Algoma Steel Group is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 6.92 per share. Given that Algoma Steel has jensen alpha of 0.4396, we suggest you to validate Algoma Steel Group's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Algoma Steel Group Price Movement Analysis

The output start index for this execution was eight with a total number of output elements of fifty-three. The Simple Moving Average indicator is calculated by adding the closing price of Algoma Steel for a given number of time periods and then dividing this total by the number of time periods. It is used to smooth out Algoma Steel Group short-term fluctuations and highlight longer-term trends or cycles.

Algoma Steel Outstanding Bonds

Algoma Steel issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Algoma Steel Group uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Algoma bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Algoma Steel Group has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Algoma Steel Predictive Daily Indicators

Algoma Steel intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Algoma Steel stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Algoma Steel Corporate Filings

18th of July 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify
6K
16th of July 2025
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
6K
10th of July 2025
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
6K
25th of June 2025
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
6K
5th of June 2025
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
6K
21st of May 2025
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
15th of May 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify
13th of May 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify

Algoma Steel Forecast Models

Algoma Steel's time-series forecasting models are one of many Algoma Steel's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Algoma Steel's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Algoma Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Algoma Steel prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Algoma shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Algoma Steel. By using and applying Algoma Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Algoma entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin(0.12)(0.11)
Operating Profit Margin(0.12)(0.11)
Net Loss(0.09)(0.09)
Gross Profit Margin(0.05)(0.04)

Current Algoma Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Algoma analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Algoma analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
20.0Buy4Odds
Algoma Steel Group current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Algoma analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Algoma stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Algoma Steel Group, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Algoma conference calls.
Algoma Analyst Advice Details

Algoma Stock Analysis Indicators

Algoma Steel Group stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Algoma Steel stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Algoma Steel shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Algoma Steel stock analysis, traders can identify Algoma Steel position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow247.4 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding108.5 M
Total Stockholder Equity1.5 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-362.9 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.93
Property Plant And Equipment Net1.7 B
Cash And Short Term Investments266.9 M
Cash266.9 M
Accounts Payable146.1 M
Net Debt406.3 M
50 Day M A6.252
Total Current Liabilities490.3 M
Other Operating Expenses2.7 B
Non Current Assets Total1.7 B
Forward Price Earnings12.0192
Non Currrent Assets Other16.6 M
Stock Based Compensation24.5 M
When determining whether Algoma Steel Group is a strong investment it is important to analyze Algoma Steel's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Algoma Steel's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Algoma Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Algoma Steel Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.
You can also try the Sync Your Broker module to sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors..
Is Diversified Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Algoma Steel. If investors know Algoma will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Algoma Steel listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.93)
Dividend Share
0.292
Earnings Share
(1.06)
Revenue Per Share
21.671
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.17)
The market value of Algoma Steel Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Algoma that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Algoma Steel's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Algoma Steel's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Algoma Steel's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Algoma Steel's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Algoma Steel's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Algoma Steel is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Algoma Steel's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.