UBS Group Stock Forecast - Market Facilitation Index
| UBS Stock | USD 26.19 0.31 1.17% |
UBS Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast UBS Group stock prices and determine the direction of UBS Group AG's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of UBS Group's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although UBS Group's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of UBS Group's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of UBS Group fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of UBS Group to cross-verify your projections. UBS |
Open Interest Against 2024-05-17 UBS Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast UBS Group's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in UBS Group's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for UBS Group stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current UBS Group's open interest, investors have to compare it to UBS Group's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of UBS Group is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in UBS. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in UBS Group cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the UBS Group's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets UBS Group's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Market Facilitation Index is simply a difference between period high and low prices divided by period trading volume.| Check UBS Group Volatility | Backtest UBS Group | Information Ratio |
UBS Group Trading Date Momentum
| On May 02 2024 UBS Group AG was traded for 26.19 at the closing time. Highest UBS Group's price during the trading hours was 26.19 and the lowest price during the day was 26.19 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on the 2nd of May did not result in any price rise and fall. The trading price change to current price is 1.18% . |
Market Facilitation Index was developed by Dr. Bill Williams. This indicator can help to determine either strong or week signal that can follow the current trend line by looking at how Market Facilitation index correlates with trading volume over time.
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Other Forecasting Options for UBS Group
For every potential investor in UBS, whether a beginner or expert, UBS Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. UBS Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in UBS. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying UBS Group's price trends.UBS Group Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with UBS Group stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of UBS Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing UBS Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
UBS Group AG Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of UBS Group's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of UBS Group's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
UBS Group Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how UBS Group stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading UBS Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying UBS Group stock market strength indicators, traders can identify UBS Group AG entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | (9,223,372,036,855) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 26.19 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 26.19 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.15) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.31) |
UBS Group Risk Indicators
The analysis of UBS Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in UBS Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ubs stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.09 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.52 | |||
| Variance | 2.3 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
UBS Group Investors Sentiment
The influence of UBS Group's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in UBS. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to UBS Group's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in UBS. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding UBS can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around UBS Group AG. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
UBS Group's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for UBS Group's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average UBS Group's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on UBS Group.
UBS Group Implied Volatility | 146.89 |
UBS Group's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of UBS Group AG stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if UBS Group's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that UBS Group stock will not fluctuate a lot when UBS Group's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards UBS Group in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, UBS Group's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from UBS Group options trading.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of UBS Group to cross-verify your projections. Note that the UBS Group AG information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other UBS Group's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
Complementary Tools for UBS Stock analysis
When running UBS Group's price analysis, check to measure UBS Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy UBS Group is operating at the current time. Most of UBS Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of UBS Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move UBS Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of UBS Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is UBS Group's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of UBS Group. If investors know UBS will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about UBS Group listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 13.673 | Dividend Share 0.7 | Earnings Share 8.45 | Revenue Per Share 12.565 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.363 |
The market value of UBS Group AG is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of UBS that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of UBS Group's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is UBS Group's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because UBS Group's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect UBS Group's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between UBS Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if UBS Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, UBS Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.