Gold Fields Ltd Stock Price Prediction
| GFI Stock | USD 17.89 0.36 2.05% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
62
Oversold | Overbought |
Gold Fields stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Gold Fields shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Gold Fields' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Gold Fields and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Gold Fields' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Gold Fields Ltd, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Gold Fields' stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.10) | Wall Street Target Price 15.33 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.014 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Gold Fields based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Gold stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Gold Fields over a specific investment horizon. Using Gold Fields hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Gold Fields Ltd from the perspective of Gold Fields response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Gold Fields using Gold Fields' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Gold using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Gold Fields' stock price.
Gold Fields Implied Volatility | 45.66 |
Gold Fields' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Gold Fields Ltd stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Gold Fields' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Gold Fields stock will not fluctuate a lot when Gold Fields' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Gold Fields. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Gold Fields to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Gold because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Gold Fields after-hype prediction price | USD 17.81 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Gold contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Gold Fields Ltd will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 2.85% per day over the life of the 2024-05-17 option contract. With Gold Fields trading at USD 17.89, that is roughly USD 0.51 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Gold Fields' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Gold Fields Ltd options at the current volatility level of 45.66%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Gold |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gold Fields' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Gold Fields After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Gold Fields at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Gold Fields or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Gold Fields, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Gold Fields Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Gold Fields' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Gold Fields' historical news coverage. Gold Fields' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 14.77 and 20.85, respectively. We have considered Gold Fields' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Gold Fields is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Gold Fields is based on 3 months time horizon.
Gold Fields Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Gold Fields is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Gold Fields backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Gold Fields, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.38 | 3.04 | 0.08 | 0.05 | 11 Events / Month | 9 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
17.89 | 17.81 | 0.45 |
|
Gold Fields Hype Timeline
On the 30th of April Gold Fields is traded for 17.89. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.08, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.05. Gold is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 17.81. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.45%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.38%. The volatility of related hype on Gold Fields is about 2290.41%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 17.94. About 23.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Gold Fields was currently reported as 5.01. The company last dividend was issued on the 14th of March 2024. Gold Fields had 1161:1000 split on the 21st of February 2013. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Gold Fields Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Gold Fields Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Gold Fields' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Gold Fields' future price movements. Getting to know how Gold Fields' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Gold Fields may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AEM | Agnico Eagle Mines | 0.78 | 10 per month | 1.42 | 0.22 | 3.11 | (2.36) | 7.19 | |
| KGC | Kinross Gold | 0.01 | 10 per month | 1.83 | 0.12 | 4.25 | (3.02) | 10.17 | |
| HMY | Harmony Gold Mining | (0.1) | 10 per month | 1.90 | 0.19 | 8.14 | (3.32) | 20.33 | |
| FNV | Franco Nevada | 0.05 | 9 per month | 1.35 | 0.08 | 2.80 | (2.67) | 6.48 | |
| IAG | IAMGold | (0.04) | 10 per month | 2.48 | 0.18 | 6.01 | (4.26) | 16.64 | |
| CDE | Coeur Mining | (0.07) | 9 per month | 3.44 | 0.20 | 10.56 | (6.06) | 17.55 | |
| AU | AngloGold Ashanti plc | 0.08 | 10 per month | 2.17 | 0.16 | 5.30 | (3.87) | 15.81 | |
| BTG | B2Gold Corp | (0.06) | 8 per month | 2.39 | (0.02) | 3.73 | (3.76) | 13.01 | |
| PAAS | Pan American Silver | 0.72 | 9 per month | 1.92 | 0.17 | 4.74 | (3.45) | 11.32 | |
| WPM | Wheaton Precious Metals | 0.28 | 11 per month | 1.89 | 0.09 | 3.61 | (2.15) | 10.45 | |
| NEM | Newmont Goldcorp Corp | (0.19) | 9 per month | 2.19 | 0.10 | 4.62 | (4.00) | 10.78 |
Gold Fields Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Gold price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Gold using various technical indicators. When you analyze Gold charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Gold Fields Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Gold Fields stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Gold Fields Ltd, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Gold Fields based on analysis of Gold Fields hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Gold Fields's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Gold Fields's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0185 | 0.0315 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.87 | 2.68 |
Story Coverage note for Gold Fields
The number of cover stories for Gold Fields depends on current market conditions and Gold Fields' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Gold Fields is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Gold Fields' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Gold Fields Short Properties
Gold Fields' future price predictability will typically decrease when Gold Fields' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Gold Fields Ltd often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Gold Fields' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gold Fields' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 895 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 648.7 M |
Check out Gold Fields Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Gold Fields information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Gold Fields' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.
Complementary Tools for Gold Stock analysis
When running Gold Fields' price analysis, check to measure Gold Fields' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gold Fields is operating at the current time. Most of Gold Fields' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gold Fields' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gold Fields' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gold Fields to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Insider Screener Find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance | |
| Alpha Finder Use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk | |
| Commodity Channel Use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum | |
| Competition Analyzer Analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities | |
| Portfolio Rebalancing Analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets | |
| Portfolio Suggestion Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios | |
| Cryptocurrency Center Build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency |
Is Gold Fields' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Gold Fields. If investors know Gold will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Gold Fields listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.10) | Dividend Share 0.407 | Earnings Share 0.79 | Revenue Per Share 2.519 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.014 |
The market value of Gold Fields is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Gold that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Gold Fields' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Gold Fields' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Gold Fields' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Gold Fields' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Gold Fields' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gold Fields is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gold Fields' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.